"FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
OF TREATY SETTLEMENTS IN B.C."
An independent report by
Grant Thornton Management Consultants confirms and updates a January 1996
study conducted by KPMG Management Consultants on behalf of the government
of British Columbia. KPMG's "Benefits and Costs of Treaty Settlements in
British Columbia" found that the benefits of treaty settlements will outweigh
the costs.
The Grant Thornton report takes into account
the Nisga'a Final Agreement and other developments and factors affecting
treaty negotiations to provide a range of financial and economic impacts
of treaty settlements on British Columbia. The key findings of this study
are:
-
The total settlement costs for all treaties
will range from $9.2 to $9.4 billion over 40 years. This includes
costs of $6.0 to $6.3 billion ($1998) for cash transfers to First Nations,
payments to third parties and the costs of transferring land and resources.
In addition, rural Crown land with a residual value of $2.8 to $3.5 billion,
after the value of forest and other resources is accounted for, will be
transferred as part of overall settlements.
-
The provincial government's $2-billion
share of the financial costs will average $50 million annually over 40
years. This is about 25 cents for every $100 in the current provincial
budget.
-
After deducting British Columbia's total
financial costs, B.C.'s net financial benefit is estimated at between $3.8
and $4.7 billion. The total cost to provincial taxpayers for completing
all treaties in B.C. - including cash, the value of transferred resources,
pre-treaty and negotiation costs and B.C. taxpayers' share of federal costs
- is estimated at $2.1 to $2.5 billion. Financial transfers worth roughly
twice that amount will flow into the B.C. economy.
-
Total economic benefit to British Columbia
from the investment of cash transfers and other spin-off effects is estimated
at between $7.0 and $11.6 billion. This includes the investment climate
dividend resulting from certainty over land title and land use.
-
British Columbia's net financial benefit
from the Nisga'a Final Agreement is estimated at $188 million. Cash
flows into B.C. will exceed B.C.'s costs by almost $200 million. Grant
Thornton adjusts the provincial government's August 1998 statement of B.C.'s
costs to arrive at a financial cost to B.C. of $159 million out of a total
financial value of $347 million, over a 40-year period. The balance will
be transfers to British Columbia from taxpayers outside the province.
-
The Nisga'a Final Agreement is consistent
with the 1996 KPMG predictions for costs of all treaty settlements over
the next 20 years. Assuming the costs associated with other treaties
are similar to the Nisga'a agreement, the province is on course with the
cost estimates published three years ago.
-
The fact that 38 First Nations are now
negotiating toward an agreement in principle, versus the three First Nations
at the time information was prepared for the KPMG report, is a strong indication
of the intent of First Nations to settle land claims issues. Nevertheless,
it is estimated that it may take as many as 20 years before all land claims
are settled in a satisfactory manner.
To receive the complete report:
Internet: (http://www.aaf.gov.bc.ca/aaf/pubs/pubs.htm)
Ministry of Aboriginal Affairs
Toll-free: 1-800-880-1022
March 1999
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