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Matters behind the mission: the background to the EP-3 affair  The
collision between a US EP-3 surveillance aircraft and a Chinese J-8 fighter
over the South China Sea on 1 April brought into sharp focus tensions
that have been building up for some time.10/04/01  
RELATED
ARTICLES:Aircraft PR-32: how much of an intelligence windfall does it present? Aircraft PR-32: its systems and its damage A closer look at Lingshui USA and China on collision course over fate of EP-3 USA and China wrangle over US 'spyplane' Sentinel Risk Pointers: China Boost in Beijing defence budget highlights need to track China's progress PRC defence spending continues to rise The effects of NMD on Chinese strategy BACKGROUND INFORMATION: Lockheed Martin EP-3E Aries II Lockheed Martin P-3B/C `Iron Clad' variants Shenyang Aircraft Corporation (SAC) J-8 I and II Benign neglect to be US Middle East policy In the Bush administration's first major description of its Middle East policy, Secretary of State Colin Powell drew a sharp distinction from the Clinton administration's strategy of engagement in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, saying "The United States stands ready to assist, not insist." 06/04/01 
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ARTICLES:Is Arafat the target? Will Sharon spring a surprise? Sharon sits in precarious seat Aung San Suu who? AFTER a decade of sermonising, India has sacrificed the cause of democracy in Burma (Myanmar) on the altar of crude national interests. It has all but abandoned its support for Burmese opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi, embracing the military junta that grabbed power after her party had won a freely contested general election. 06/04/01 
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ARTICLES:Southeast Asia Risk Pointers - Myanmar India and Myanmar look to bury years of distrust A new Yugoslavia AFTER 10 years of ex-President Slobodan Milosevic's depredations, the rump Yugoslav Federation is close to collapse, despite Western calls for it to stay together. Reassessing its future role and drafting a new constitution accounting for the other members' desires are big jobs. A Belgrade-based Western ambassador says: "Like it or not, this is going to absorb a lot of the government's energy and time this year, when ideally it should be concentrating on other matters." 03/04/01
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ARTICLES:Milosevic behind bars: anatomy of an arrest The battle of the Villa Milosevic Jane's Sentinel Security Assessments: The Balkans Milosevic behind bars: anatomy of an arrest The April Fool's Day arrest of Serbian strongman Slobodan Milosevic, former president of Serbia and Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, concluded one chapter in the story of a major power struggle currently underway in Belgrade. JIR Special Correspondent Zoran Kusovac provides a blow-by-blow account of the arrest and provides some unique insight into how this latest Serbian powerplay unfolded. 02/04/01 
The battle of the Villa Milosevic Saturday's siege of Slobodan Milosevic's villa in the exclusive Belgrade district of Dedinje may have ended with the ex-President of Yugoslavia being hauled off to face an investigation into his alleged corruption and financial misconduct, but the real power struggle in Serbia is only just beginning. 01/04/01
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LINKS:Kosovo Crisis archive March - June 1999 Jane's Sentinel Security Assessments: The Balkans RELATED CONFERENCE: Jane's Conferences: The Balkans: A European Security Challenge RELATED PRODUCTS: Balkans Reconstruction - Jane's Special Report Saddam calls for war As JID has been warning for months, Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein has been increasingly successful in re-positioning himself as the champion of the Arabs against the West and Israel. This week he addressed the Arab summit, held in Jordan's capital Amman, calling for Arab unity and a war to "liberate Palestine". Ominously, his audience of Arab leaders gave him a respectful hearing. JID analyses the speech and its worrying implications. 30/03/01
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ARTICLES:After Saddam, who will take power in Iraq? Suffering Saddam? Secrecy in Colombia US military aid to Colombia may be on a large scale but the US government insists that it is not launching another Vietnam as American troops in the country are forbidden to engage in combat with the country's guerrillas. However, private American companies, paid for by the State and Defence Departments and staffed by ex-servicemen from the Special Forces and by pilots, suffer no such restrictions. 29/03/01
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ARTICLES:FARC: finance comes full circle for bartering revolutionaries Profile: Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia Peacemaking and war-mongering in Colombia Radicals are the winners in Macedonian fighting The upsurge of ethnically motivated fighting in the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (FYROM) has brought into the limelight the ethnic-Albanian organization calling itself the National Liberation Army (Ushtria Clirimtare Kombetare - UCK). Although sharing the same Albanian-language acronym as the better known Kosovo Liberation Army, now disbanded, the NLA appears to be an indigenous force, created in a matter of weeks since fighting started on the Macedonia-Kosovo border in late February. 26/03/01 RELATED
LINKS:Why Macedonia matters Kosovo Crisis archive March - June 1999 Will Macedonia be next? Jane's Sentinel Security Assessments: The Balkans Jane's Sentinel Risk Pointers- The Balkans - Macedonia RELATED CONFERENCE: Jane's Conferences: The Balkans: A European Security Challenge RELATED PRODUCTS: Balkans Reconstruction - Jane's Special Report Questions in Budapest Since we began publishing in 1938, it has been Intelligence Digest's mission to investigate and bring to light important issues in security and intelligence. Many of our articles have attracted attention from the international media and from governments. Rarely, however, has one issue provoked national interest on the scale we have witnessed in Hungary this week. 09/03/01 The new Russian offensive Officially, the Cold War is over and the Soviet Union is history (although this week's arrest of a senior FBI official on charges of spying for both the USSR and, latterly, Russia raises some important questions). Even so, certain events of late have shed a disturbing light on the tactics and possible goals that the Kremlin under Vladimir Putin may be pursuing. JID's Central Europe analyst has carried out an exclusive investigation. 26/02/01
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ARTICLES:Sentinel Risk Pointers: Russia and the CIS - Russia Welcome to Budapest: the new mafia battleground Musharraf's game plan Will Pakistan's Chief Executive General Pervez Musharraf keep his promise to follow the Supreme Court's directive to restore civilian rule in the country by October 2002? Does he have a game plan for the future? After 17 months of dismal performance by the military regime in practically every field, these questions have become vitally important. 16/03/01
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ARTICLES:South Asia Risk Pointers - Pakistan Will Pakistan go fundamentalist?: Unanswered questions about the new government in Islamabad Who is Pervez Musharraf? What sort of military man is Pakistan's new ruler? Is Arafat the target? As the new Israeli government starts working this week, some generals will tell the cabinet, led by Ariel Sharon, that President Yasser Arafat of the Palestinian Authority is more of an obstacle to peace and security than an asset. The generals will leave the cabinet to draw its own conclusions. 15/03/01
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ARTICLES:Will Sharon spring a surprise? Sharon sits in precarious seat Sentinel Risk Pointers: Eastern Mediterranean - Israel India joins anti-Taliban coalition India is believed to have joined Russia, the USA and Iran in a concerted front against Afghanistan's Taliban regime. Military sources in Delhi, claim that the opposition Northern Alliance's capture of the strategic town of Bamiyan, was precipitated by the four countries' collaborative effort. 15/03/01 RELATED
LINKS:South Asia Risk Pointers - Afghanistan Taliban ignores UN appeal to end war New UN sanctions on Taliban Bin Ladin's activities exposed in New York trial In February, US federal prosecutors opened their long-awaited terrorism case against four of Usama bin Ladin's alleged followers with a personal account by Jamal Ahmad al-Fadl, a Bin Ladin confidante turned FBI informant.
14/03/01
RELATED ARTICLES: The CIA on Bin Laden A 'Return to Normalcy' in the Great Lakes? Uganda's delayed presidential election is due to be held today (12 March) under the country's controversial 'no-party' rules. President of the last 15 years Yoweri Museveni faces an unexpectedly strong challenge from his former guerrilla ally and physician, Kizza Besigye, while four candidates advocating a return to multi-party democracy have failed to make an impact. 12/03/01 
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ARTICLES:Jane's Sentinel Risk Pointers- Central Africa Sea Tigers, stealth technology and the North Korean connection  On
23 October 2000 the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) attacked and
sank a Sri Lanka Navy operated passenger vessel in Trincomalee harbour.
A video of the operation, analysed by Jane's Intelligence Review,
reveals the use
of stealth technologies in LTTE boat design and the procurement
of weapons from the Democratic People's Republic of Korea.07/03/01 VIDEO
LINKS:LTTE Stealth Boat LTTE attack Boost in Beijing defence budget highlights need to track China's progress Beijing's significant defence spending increase further emphasises the overwhelming need to understand the thinking behind -- and the implications of -- the strategic developments and technological advances China is set to make over the coming years. The People's Republic of China's role and influence on the international stage is on course to increase with significant consequences for the region as well as for NATO and its allies. 08/03/01 RELATED CONFERENCE: Missile Proliferation 2001 RELATED ARTICLES: PRC defence spending continues to rise The effects of NMD on Chinese strategy The BBC attack - dissident Republicans' first successful car bomb on the UK mainland Senior security officials believe that the bomb attack on the BBC Television Centre in west London in the early hours of Sunday, 4 March, was the work of the dissident Irish Republican group the Real IRA (RIRA). If the theory is correct the incident is significant, for this would be the first successful car bomb attack to be carried out on the British 'mainland' by the group. 06/03/01 RELATED
ARTICLES:Real IRA in the frame for BBC bombing Semtex recovered in N Ireland Real IRA arms purchasing in Croatia indicates a change of tactics The Real IRA: after Omagh, what now? Is London bomb a prelude to RIRA blitz? Real IRA in the frame for BBC bombing The suggestion by UK police that the Real IRA was behind last weekend’s bombing outside BBC Television Centre in Wood Lane, Shepherd’s Bush, is consistent with recent Jane’s analysis on how the organisation’s ongoing campaign of violence would take shape. 05/03/01 RELATED
ARTICLES:Semtex recovered in N Ireland Real IRA arms purchasing in Croatia indicates a change of tactics The Real IRA: after Omagh, what now? Is London bomb a prelude to RIRA blitz? US DoD considers testing non-lethal energy weapon The US Department of Defense (DoD) is considering whether to begin field testing a millimetre-wave electromagnetic energy weapon designed to help US soldiers protect themselves and drive away adversaries when using lethal force is inappropriate. 02/03/01 
RELATED ARTICLES: Infantry rifles unsuitable for many modern missions Market Review: Jane's Infantry Weapons 2001-2002 Iraqi air defences under strain According to senior US defence officials, Iraq has "attempted unique indigenous efforts" to maintain and upgrade its air defences since the 1990-91 Gulf War. Baghdad has utilised "substantial stocks" of equipment accumulated during the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq war, the official explained, but now is attempting "to modify ground forces equipment to augment its dwindling air-defence equipment". 28/02/01
RELATED ARTICLES: US and British warplanes strike Iraqi air defence sites Sentinel Risk Pointers: The Gulf States - Iraq SEARCH THE WEB WITH JANE'S DEFENCE DISCOVERY FOR RELATED DOCUMENTS: Search Defence Forces Database for "Southern Watch" Search Defence Forces Database for "Northern Watch" The US agricultural sector: a new target for terrorism?  With
concern growing over the Foot and Mouth crisis in the UK, Peter Chalk examines
the potential for terrorists to disrupt economies and societies by introducing
pathogens into the food chain and livestock. This threat, posing serious
dangers to the security of the state, is only now being taken seriously
by government agencies.23/02/01 RELATED
ARTICLES:Jane's Press Releases: Foot-and-mouth disease identified as terrorist threat in "Jane's Intelligence Review" report Jane's Chem-Bio Web magazine site Jane's Catalogue: Chem-Bio Web |
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