Dvorak on Google Rumors like the "space elevator"

The most recent buzz over Google has centered around various rumors that the company will make dumb terminals, its own operating system, or a wireless mesh network, light up dark fiber all over the country, and (get this) finance the "space elevator."

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  1. "Google. Light 'em up, boys! We're with you on this one, for sure."

    What he said!
    thegrandpoobah posted by thegrandpoobah (0) at 09:14 PM 2/07/06 score:
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  2. Indeed, this was a good little read.
    JiMiThInG posted by JiMiThInG (0) at 01:14 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  3. Google got me pregnant, and didn't call me back.

    Bastards.
    ctheory posted by ctheory (0) at 04:21 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  4. It's a traveshamockery.
    ctheory posted by ctheory (0) at 04:25 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  5. I'd ride the Google train
    Sell posted by Sell (0) at 04:27 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  6. i always imagined a massive verticle chord connecting to a space elevator when i picture googleplex.
    stephndolenc posted by stephndolenc (7) at 04:30 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  7. Isn't the future of broadband wireless?
    CaughtThinking posted by CaughtThinking (0) at 04:34 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  8. That would be cool if they did the fiber-optic thing; I would buy from them.
    BillyBobFett posted by BillyBobFett (0) at 04:34 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  9. "Isn't the future of broadband wireless?"

    no
    spling posted by spling (0) at 04:37 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  10. On a serious note, though, i'd be all for Google ushering the big telco's and cable companies to the exit door - i'm tired of paying 145 dollars a month for TV and internet, especially for a 10 down/768k up connection that barely touches 5. Garbage. Screw you, brighthouse.
    ctheory posted by ctheory (0) at 04:40 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  11. He serious about the 30 Mbps in Sweden? And if so, what's the best way to learn Swedish?
    PoptartKing posted by PoptartKing (0) at 04:44 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  12. We *are* getting hosed in this country by comparison when in comes to net access. Should it cost $40-$60 a month for net access? My access is pretty reliable, but it is pricey for what you get when compared to other countries. Should we pay more because we make more? or are comcast and the like greedy?

    Seems to me that if you had to choose which had your best interest in mind, the telcos/comcast or google. Most would choose google.
    ericvdb posted by ericvdb (0) at 04:49 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  13. @ ctheory

    I completely agree with you. Screw the large telecommunications companies... buying up small ISPs and networks then raising the cost to access them. Sounds like a bad Parker Brothers game...
    nmcglennon posted by nmcglennon (0) at 04:49 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  14. "You have to love Dvorak."

    no, no you dont
    totalgeekmedia posted by totalgeekmedia (0) at 04:52 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  15. God, I hope Google does this. The telcos need to go staight to hell.
    chompy posted by chompy (0) at 04:57 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  16. Okay, so let me get this straight ... right now we have Verizon, AT&T;, Sprint, and a number of other Tier-1 providers, and we fear that we may have a monopoly in the making. So Dvorak suggests that Google (who already has an effective monopoly on the search and content delivery space) should secure an overwhelming stake of the total available backbone capacity, and should use wireless to bridge the last mile.

    Hmmm... am I the only one who sees a new monopoly in the making?

    Folks, there is NO SUCH THING AS A FREE LUNCH. Now it's Google Adsense, but when Google monopolizes, err, I mean, offers ubiquitous access to everybody for everything, the tune will change.

    Remember folks; Google is a publicly traded business with shareholders, just like AT&T;, just like Verizon. They're just as much a cog in the machinery of the western free enterprise as AT&T; and Verizon. Bypassing those guys is great, but then the bypasser becomes the incumbent, and the cycle starts all over again. Welcome to a free market-driven economy!
    vindio posted by vindio (0) at 04:58 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  17. Dugg just because it's Dvorak... and because he's right.

    Lets see - $50 to qwest for DSL or Google. Tough choice... not!
    cubbieco posted by cubbieco (0) at 04:59 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  18. He mention this on TWiT this week.
    Elfboy26 posted by Elfboy26 (0) at 04:59 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  19. Well said vindio - I agree.
    genghis1 posted by genghis1 (1) at 05:02 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  20. dvorak is dead in the water
    nerfdude posted by nerfdude (0) at 05:07 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  21. Now THAT would be a useful (and noble) use of Google's cash wad. Buy a network and charge less money than all the bandwith capping telecos, and heck, maybe give FREE internet access to people who earn less (like the poverty lifeline for phones). Now that would be "doing no evil" and would get this country out of the digital bandwidth backwater we're mired in.
    Yllabianbitpipe posted by Yllabianbitpipe (0) at 05:07 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  22. PoptartKing, yes, he's right about the 30Mbps in Sweden, but the sad fact is that Sweden is one example of many. The US is downright pathetic these days when it comes to bandwidth.
    mlebeau posted by mlebeau (0) at 05:09 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  23. This is a great read. It makes sense now why google would buy up all the dark fiber.
    hckrmatrix posted by hckrmatrix (0) at 05:14 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  24. title's not very accurate to the story, but good read
    CaptenSpaulding posted by CaptenSpaulding (0) at 05:16 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  25. Yes, broadband in other countries is much much faster. I'm sure it has nothing to do with population density and geographic size.
    boohiss posted by boohiss (0) at 05:17 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  26. "Actually, you do have to love him.
    posted by Rice (16) at "

    nope, kthxbye
    totalgeekmedia posted by totalgeekmedia (0) at 05:18 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  27. Ummm.... I live in the U.S. and I have a 30 mbps connection. 15 mbps for internet and 15 mbps for HDTV.
    kday posted by kday (8) at 05:19 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  28. The problem isn’t as black and white as switching from the telco monopoly to the Google monopoly. Even though a handful of telcos exists, each one has well defined territory that it exists as a monopoly in. If Google were in the game, there would be competition in each of the previously closed regions. Well, competition better than a choice between expensive and slow cable or expensive and slower DSL.
    aaronm769 posted by aaronm769 (0) at 05:19 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  29. "(Google)... has an effective monopoly on the search and content delivery space"

    Monopoly:
    "Exclusive control by one group of the means of producing or selling a commodity or service"

    Or from a text book:
    "the ability of individuals or firms currently in business to prevent other individuals or firms from entering the same kind of business"

    Why isl any big company a monopoly? Microsoft was considered a monopoly because it was stopping other companies from entering the same type of business. Utility companies are usually monopolies because it isn't feasible for others to enter the market. Google is not, of yet, a monopoly.
    Maynardtwinn posted by Maynardtwinn (0) at 05:21 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  30. Also, I can drain all 15mbps reserved for internet with verizon newsgroups. A DVD in about 30 minutes... seems slow now since I'm used to it. Need more speed....
    kday posted by kday (8) at 05:21 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  31. More competition cannot hurt.
    bombtrack posted by bombtrack (0) at 05:21 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  32. My upload is only 2 mbps though :/... not sure why Verizon doesn't make it symmetrical. They have enough resources to do it.
    kday posted by kday (8) at 05:25 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  33. @ aaronm769

    Agreed. But my point is that the dark fiber is already there, so if someone else hasn't already done it, it's because it's not a slam-dunk to make money doing it. And, more importantly, if Google decides to do it, they're not going to be the Robin Hoods of the telecomunication industry. They have shareholders to make happy.

    I also agree that the Internet access options in the US are a bit of a boondoggle, but if Google could offer 30MB to the home for cheap, for free, or for a heavily-advertising-subsidized rate, and still make a profit, do you really think that Comcast, etc. wouldn't do that already?
    vindio posted by vindio (0) at 05:30 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  34. boohis-density arguments may be relavent when talking about bringing fiber to some 200 person town in rural Kansas but when are largest cities have crappy service, then there's a problem.

    As for the concern about a Google monopoly. Remeber this, there already is a monopoly. Google becoming an ISP wouldn't result in it putting all other companies out of business. Rather, it would bring what the telecommunications industry actually needs, real competition. The telecom industry was given $200 billion dollars by the Federal government in the form of tax breaks, subsidies, and other support to bring fiber to 86 million American homes by 2006. What did they do with the cash, they investeded it in inferior dsl and more profitable high-cost wireless networks, the rest of the cash they pocketed. Google entering the market place will force them to compete. They would have to get off their collective asses and start rolling out fiber or be left in the dust. Even if an individual company goes under because they cannot adapt, their assets will be auctioned off to someone who can. And you know what, none of their former customers will mourn their loss. It's capatilism, bastards, if you don't like it you can leave.
    tjl2015 posted by tjl2015 (0) at 05:32 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  35. I pay about $35 a month for basic cable TV (50 channels) and a 4 Mbps up/down ADSL connection in South Korea. You can get speeds much higher for relatively little extra money but I got a fast connection at work so I don't really need it.
    parker posted by parker (0) at 05:33 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  36. I'm getting 30Mbits up, 5Mbits down (for around $55/month I believe) and I'm in the US. Not everyone can get it but its coming eventually.
    matts0344 posted by matts0344 (0) at 05:35 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  37. I agree with Dvorak.. LIGHT EM UP! Not necessarily because I would automatically switch to the "GoogleNet", but because it would FORCE the other companies to compete with Google and in the end it would be better for us as consumers. It would force all the big telcos and cable companies to give us the speed we are currently paying for and not getting.
    alienos posted by alienos (1) at 05:36 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  38. You know, you can actually make space elevators using carbon fiber technology.
    Excalibur0998 posted by Excalibur0998 (0) at 05:37 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  39. @ Maynardtwinn

    The problem with you textbook definition is that the incumbents (Comcast , Verizon, etc) will never technically "prevent other individuals or firms from entering the same kind of business" as you'll always have the option to go with WiFi mesh, EVDO, WiMax, heck, DirecPC, so technically, they will never have a monopoly either.

    So you may argue: "yeah, but those options are inferior".

    Conversely, Google will never drive out all the other free-email, searches, maps, and local tools, but Google's market share will ensure that they're the ones who spent the most $$$ enhancing those services, making the others so inferior that nobody will really want to use them.

    Totally agree with you that Google is not yet a monopoly. I'm just saying that getting ahold of all the dark fiber in the US, like Dvorak suggests, certainly isn't going to make them "less" of a monopoly :-)
    vindio posted by vindio (0) at 05:37 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  40. I'm emailing Google. I'm really worked up on this one.

    My dad needs to get off 56k, and do more fun things with his nifty Macintosh.
    codemac posted by codemac (0) at 05:43 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  41. ctheory

    I agree with you 100%... I am in the same boat paying Canadian 150 for TV and Internet access and what do I get in return? My download speeds throttled (shaped) when I use bittorrent... not to mention a cap on downloads every month... fuck these cable / telco monopolies.
    cyclo posted by cyclo (0) at 05:44 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  42. Woah... Dvorak wrote a well thought out article that makes sense. I hope that the devil has snowshoes.
    leonbev posted by leonbev (1) at 05:51 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  43. Not a bad article.

    ... wait... so who's gonna pay for the space elevator???
    0troy posted by 0troy (0) at 06:00 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  44. "Isn't the future of broadband wireless?"

    No. The article talks about high capacity lines. Like for major internet backbones. Pull your head out of your a** and read the article.
    hass posted by hass (0) at 07:05 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  45. I haven't read the article yet, but it sounds like he saw Google's Master Plan and didn't realize it's a joke.
    akersmc posted by akersmc (0) at 07:31 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  46. Question.

    Why can't Dvorak and Wosniak...
    shut the hell up?

    Answer.
    Because they are what could now be known as 'pundits'. Otherwise known as washed up hacks who still eke an existence by speaking at pretentious seminars and writing books noone cares to read.
    fluoropixel posted by fluoropixel (0) at 07:36 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  47. wow

    digg

    i just read this last night on the john... I was gonna hunt down this article..
    grendel posted by grendel (0) at 07:50 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  48. "I also agree that the Internet access options in the US are a bit of a boondoggle, but if Google could offer 30MB to the home for cheap, for free, or for a heavily-advertising-subsidized rate, and still make a profit, do you really think that Comcast, etc. wouldn't do that already?"

    Becuase that would require getting off their @$$es and improving their infastructure. While I don't know a great deal about the telco industy, I can still say with almost complete certainty that they would prefer to continue to offer substandard internet access at inflated rates because it would require no outlay of $$ to do- they LIKE the status quo, because the consumer is taking up the bum and they can't do a damn thing about it.

    As to Google being a publicly traded company, why does no one realize that image can be profitable? If Google DOES manage to get into this industry and seem like the knight in shining armor for the consumer, the general populace would pledge their undying love to them. If you think about it, it's kind of like when Coke sold their product to the army (WWII or Vietnam, I cant remember which). Most of the soldiers stayed with Coke for decades after, if not their lives, because of brand loyalty and because Coke reminded them of home. If Google rolled out an internet service and it came and GUTTED telcoms offering more bandwith for less cost, would YOU think seriously about staying with them rather than switching back to some other company who you have no idea if they'll deliver any QOS? I know I would.

    Finally, competition is always good in a free market economy- it forces the industry to cater more to the consumer and less to their pocketbook. I'd say screw the telcoms, make them trim their fat and update.
    Reap posted by Reap (0) at 07:57 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  49. Let us not forget ladys and gentlemen, this may be a nessisary and invaluable step in the continuing evolution of the internet. Has this ever happened before in history when an amazing invention became so wide spread and well known that they to switched from being a.. a.. service , to being a service provider.

    It is time at this point in history that new fresh blood be brought into this over monopoloized telco world we have bread ourselves to be.

    COME Google! Show us how to break this telco co-op and save that which is MOST important!

    The ever growing digial collective of human knowledge, which is all that is cyberspace, and any technology of and for its existance must remain undiscriminitated againest by any goverment or corperations.

    let us not forget what these telco will do to the education of out future generations if they can say "You poor man, who cannot affort 'Gold Internet', your children WILL be limited in what they will learn through the most powerful information tool in human history!"

    No.
    If it does not stop hear, only a revolution may bring so.

    the massa
    cadmasteradam posted by cadmasteradam (0) at 08:03 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  50. Dvorak is an asshat.
    halc5s posted by halc5s (1) at 08:44 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  51. Google might be a monopoly, but it's a monopoly that we trust, follow, and like. Raise your hand if you have Gmail. I bet almost all of the hands in this classroom would go up.
    Bratsche posted by Bratsche (0) at 08:53 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  52. Google won't stop until they own the US.

    It'll be fast, efficient and damn ugly.
    soundscape posted by soundscape (0) at 08:53 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  53. I live in Sweden i have a 100Mbit downstream and 10Mbit upstream. I pay arround $50 a month for that. I pretty darn cool!
    tuxerware posted by tuxerware (0) at 11:27 PM 2/08/06 score:
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  54. Dvorak is ok
    michaelbeckham posted by michaelbeckham (0) at 01:04 AM 2/09/06 score:
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  55. Japan has 1Gbps fiber to the home for about 6000yen (around $50) per month. And they plan to roll out 10Gbps by 2010.
    xeigen posted by xeigen (0) at 01:36 AM 2/09/06 score:
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  56. @ Bratsche

    "Google might be a monopoly, but it's a monopoly that we trust, follow, and like. Raise your hand if you have Gmail. I bet almost all of the hands in this classroom would go up."

    Okay ... raise your hand if you have Windows ... does that mean Microsoft is a monopoly we all can trust ;-)
    vindio posted by vindio (0) at 05:51 AM 2/09/06 score:
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  57. vindio,
    I agree with in princple but you forget one thing. The guys running Google now don't give a Sh-T about Wallstreet. They already said they will run their company their way and not to please Wallstreet. They want to do what is best for the long term and not meet short term goals like other companies. They don't even give quarterly projections and don't care if the meet Wallstreet expectations. Plus if they do this, it would make the telcos get off their asses and match or beat them with similar service.
    Jetfire posted by Jetfire (0) at 06:10 AM 2/09/06 score:
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  58. Dvorak Rules! He cuts out the B.S. and gets to the point. All valid!
    tdkme posted by tdkme (0) at 07:50 AM 2/09/06 score:
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  59. for anyone wanting to learn sweedish, don't bother, they all speak english....in stockholm at least, and pretty much anyone under 40
    sk1d posted by sk1d (0) at 08:33 AM 2/09/06 score:
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  60. Sounds Like Google's wanting to Spend money on Eveything
    Gigan posted by Gigan (0) at 08:45 AM 2/09/06 score:
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  61. Yay! Google rocks! I'm behind them one hundred percent, whatever they do. With Google, you know it's gonna be cool. Even if they did become a monopoly or even a world superpower. I mean, if they conquered the world and created a global autocracy, it'd probably be awesome. G-tocracy! Imagine the innovations they'd come up with for running a planet. Talk about Google Earth! And then maybe they'll colonize Mars. Hey, that's probably what the space elevator is gonna be for!

    Anyway, three cheers for Google!
    dagfooyo posted by dagfooyo (0) at 09:16 AM 2/09/06 score:
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  62. Before i actually heard or saw Dvorak on a podcast i wasnt a fan at all, but now i am a BIG FAN!! Thats not to say that i believe or like everything he writes but he does make you think.
    The Dark Fiber needs to be turned on!! They could use the Dark Fiber along with wireless to get broadband to a lot of places. I dont care who does it but i want faster and cheaper!! Something is wrong with paying over $100 for cable and internet!!
    JDMpimp posted by JDMpimp (0) at 09:43 AM 2/09/06 score:
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  63. google light sabers are next up...they'll have all of the google colors in them and be able to decimate online search with a single schwissshhh....out
    fistagon7 posted by fistagon7 (0) at 08:51 AM 2/10/06 score:
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