Global Peace Index

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World map of the Global Peace Index. Countries appearing more blue are ranked as more peaceful on the Index, countries appearing more red are ranked as less peaceful.
World map of the Global Peace Index. Countries appearing more blue are ranked as more peaceful on the Index, countries appearing more red are ranked as less peaceful.

The Global Peace Index is an attempt to measure the relative position of nations’ and regions’ peacefulness. It is maintained by the Economist, an international panel of peace experts from peace institutes and think tanks, together with the Centre for Peace and Conflict Studies, University of Sydney, Australia. The list was launched in May 2007, and is claimed to be the first study to rank countries around the world according to their peacefulness. The study is the brainchild of Australian entrepreneur Steve Killelea and is endorsed by individuals such as the Dalai Lama, archbishop Desmond Tutu, and former US president Jimmy Carter. Factors examined by the authors include internal factors such as levels of violence and crime within the country and factors in a country's external relations such as military expenditure and wars.

Contents

[edit] Methodology

The research team was headed by The Economist Intelligence Unit in conjunction with academics and experts in the field of peace. They measured countries' peacefulness based on wide range of indicators, 24 in all. A table of the indicators is below.[1] In the table, UCDP stands for the Uppsala Conflict Data Program maintained by the University of Uppsala in Sweden, EIU for The Economist Intelligence Unit, UNSCT for the United Nations Survey of Criminal Trends and Operations of Criminal Justice Systems, ICPS is the International Center for Prison Studies at King's College London, IISS for the International Institute for Strategic Studies publication The Military Balance 2007, SIPRI for the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute Arms Transfers Database, and BICC for the Bonn International Center for Conversion.

#
Indicator
Source
Year(s)
Coding
1 Number of external and internal wars fought UCDP 2000 to 2005 Total number[2]
2 Estimated deaths due to external wars UCDP 2004 to 2005 Total number[2]
3 Estimated deaths due to internal wars UCDP 2004 to 2005 Total number[2]
4 Level of organized internal conflict EIU 2007 Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
5 Relations with neighboring countries EIU 2007 Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
6 Level of distrust in other citizens EIU 2007 Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
7 Number of displaced persons as percentage of population World Bank 2003 Refugee population by percentage of the origin country's population
8 Political instability EIU 2007 Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
9 Level of respect for human rights (political terror scale) Amnesty International 2005 Qualitative measure
10 Potential for terrorist acts EIU 2007 Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
11 Number of homicides UNSCT 2004 and 2002 Intentional homicides, including infanticide, per 100,000 people
12 Level of violent crime EIU 2007 Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
13 Likelihood of violent demonstrations EIU 2007 Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
14 Number of jailed persons ICPS 2006 Persons incarcerated per 100,000 people
15 Number of police and security officers UNSCT 2002 and 2000 Civil security officers per 100,000 people[3]
16 Military expenditure as a percentage of GDP IISS 2004 Cash outlays for armed forces, as a percentage of GDP[4]
17 Number of armed services personnel IISS 2004 Full-time military personnel per 100,000 people
18 Imports of major conventional weapons SIPRI 2001 to 2005 Imports of major conventional weapons per 100,000 people[5]
19 Exports of major conventional weapons SIPRI 2001 to 2005 Exports of major conventional weapons per 100,000 people[5]
20 United Nations deployments IISS 2006 to 2007 Total number
21 Non-United Nations deployments IISS 2006 to 2007 Total number
22 Number of heavy weapons BICC 2003 Weapons per 100,000 people[6]
23 Ease of access to small arms and light weapons EIU 2007 Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
24 Military capability or sophistication EIU 2007 Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5

Indicators not already ranked on a 1 to 5 scale were converted by using the following formula: x=(x-Min(x))/(Max(x)-Min(x)) where Max(x) and Min(x) are the highest and lowest values for that indicator of the countries ranked in the index. The 0 to 1 scores that resulted were then converted to the 1 to 5 scale. Individual indicators were then weighted according to the research team's judgment of their importance. The scores were then tabulated into two weighted sub-indices: internal peace, weighted at 60% of a country's final score, and external peace, weighted at 40% of a country's final score.[7]

After compiling the Index, the researchers examined it for patterns in order to identify the "drivers" that make for peaceful societies as measured by the index. They found in general that peaceful countries often shared high levels of democracy and transparency of government, education and material well-being, as is the case with Norway, New Zealand, and many of the European countries that ranked among the more peaceful nations on the index. The United States was one prominent exception to this rule largely due to its engagement in warfare, high military expenditure, and high levels of incarceration and homicide.[8]

Statistical analysis was applied to discover more specific drivers of peace. Specifically, the research team looked for indicators that were included and excluded from the index that had high levels of correlation with the overall score and rank of countries. Among the statistically significant indicators that were not used in the analysis were the functionality of a country's government, regional integration, hostility to foreigners, importance of religion in national life, and GDP per capita.[9]

Notably absent from the study are Belarus, Iceland, many African nations, Mongolia, North Korea and Afghanistan. They were not included because reliable data for the 24 indicators was not available.[10]

[edit] Criticism and response to criticism

The Economist, in publishing the index, admitted that, "the index will run into some flak." Specifically, according to The Economist, the weighting of military expenditure "may seem to give heart to freeloaders: countries that enjoy peace precisely because others (often the USA) care for their defence." However, the magazine goes on to argue that the true utility of the index may lie not in its specific rankings of countries now, but in how those rankings change over time, thus tracking when and how countries become more or less peaceful.[11]

The Peace Index has been criticised for not including indicators specifically relating to violence against women and children. Riane Eisler, writing in the Christian Science Monitor, argued that, "to put it mildly, this blind spot makes the index very inaccurate." She mentions a number of specific cases, including Egypt, where she claims 90 percent of women are subject to genital mutilation, China, where, she says, "female infanticide is still a problem," and Chile, where 26% of women, "suffered at least one episode of violence by a partner, according to a 2000 UNICEF study."[12]

The Index has received endorsements from a number of major international figures, including the Dalai Lama, archbishop Desmond Tutu, and former United States President Jimmy Carter.[13] Steve Killelea, the Australian philanthropist who conceived the idea of the Index, argues that the Index, "is a wake-up call for leaders around the globe."[14]

[edit] 2007 Global Peace Index rankings

Nations considered the most peaceful have lower index scores.[15]

Rank Country Score
1 Flag of NorwayNorway 1.357
2 Flag of New ZealandNew Zealand 1.363
3 Flag of DenmarkDenmark 1.377
4 Flag of IrelandIreland 1.396
5 Flag of JapanJapan 1.413
6 Flag of FinlandFinland 1.447
7 Flag of SwedenSweden 1.478
8 Flag of CanadaCanada 1.481
9 Flag of PortugalPortugal 1.481
10 Flag of AustriaAustria 1.483
11 Flag of BelgiumBelgium 1.498
12 Flag of GermanyGermany 1.523
13 Flag of the Czech RepublicCzech Republic 1.524
14 Flag of SwitzerlandSwitzerland 1.526
15 Flag of SloveniaSlovenia 1.539
16 Flag of ChileChile 1.568
17 Flag of SlovakiaSlovakia 1.571
18 Flag of HungaryHungary 1.575
19 Flag of BhutanBhutan 1.611
20 Flag of the NetherlandsNetherlands 1.620
21 Flag of SpainSpain 1.633
22 Flag of OmanOman 1.641
23 Flag of Hong KongHong Kong 1.657
24 Flag of UruguayUruguay 1.661
25 Flag of AustraliaAustralia 1.664
26 Flag of RomaniaRomania 1.682
27 Flag of PolandPoland 1.683
28 Flag of EstoniaEstonia 1.684
29 Flag of SingaporeSingapore 1.692
30 Flag of QatarQatar 1.702
31 Flag of Costa RicaCosta Rica 1.702
32 Flag of South KoreaSouth Korea 1.719
33 Flag of ItalyItaly 1.724
34 Flag of FranceFrance 1.729
35 Flag of VietnamVietnam 1.729
36 Flag of the Republic of ChinaTaiwan 1.731
37 Flag of MalaysiaMalaysia 1.744
38 Flag of the United Arab EmiratesUnited Arab Emirates 1.747
39 Flag of TunisiaTunisia 1.762
40 Flag of GhanaGhana 1.765
41 Flag of MadagascarMadagascar 1.766
42 Flag of BotswanaBotswana 1.786
43 Flag of LithuaniaLithuania 1.788
44 Flag of GreeceGreece 1.791
45 Flag of PanamaPanama 1.798
46 Flag of KuwaitKuwait 1.818
47 Flag of LatviaLatvia 1.848
48 Flag of MoroccoMorocco 1.893
49 Flag of the United KingdomUnited Kingdom 1.898
50 Flag of MozambiqueMozambique 1.909
51 Flag of CyprusCyprus 1.915
52 Flag of ArgentinaArgentina 1.923
53 Flag of ZambiaZambia 1.930
54 Flag of BulgariaBulgaria 1.936
55 Flag of ParaguayParaguay 1.946
56 Flag of GabonGabon 1.952
57 Flag of TanzaniaTanzania 1.966
58 Flag of LibyaLibya 1.967
59 Flag of CubaCuba 1.968
60 Flag of the People's Republic of ChinaChina 1.980
61 Flag of KazakhstanKazakhstan 1.995
62 Flag of BahrainBahrain 1.995
63 Flag of JordanJordan 1.997
64 Flag of NamibiaNamibia 2.003
65 Flag of SenegalSenegal 2.017
66 Flag of NicaraguaNicaragua 2.020
67 Flag of CroatiaCroatia 2.030
68 Flag of MalawiMalawi 2.038
69 Flag of BoliviaBolivia 2.052
70 Flag of PeruPeru 2.056
71 Flag of GuineaGuinea 2.059
72 Flag of MoldovaMoldova 2.059
73 Flag of EgyptEgypt 2.068
74 Flag of the Dominican RepublicDominican Republic 2.071
75 Flag of Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina 2.089
76 Flag of CameroonCameroon 2.093
77 Flag of SyriaSyria 2.106
78 Flag of IndonesiaIndonesia 2.111
79 Flag of MexicoMexico 2.125
80 Flag of UkraineUkraine 2.150
81 Flag of JamaicaJamaica 2.164
82 Flag of the Republic of MacedoniaRepublic of Macedonia 2.170
83 Flag of BrazilBrazil 2.173
84 Flag of SerbiaSerbia 2.181
85 Flag of CambodiaCambodia 2.197
86 Flag of BangladeshBangladesh 2.219
87 Flag of EcuadorEcuador 2.219
88 Flag of Papua New GuineaPapua New Guinea 2.223
89 Flag of El SalvadorEl Salvador 2.244
90 Flag of Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia 2.246
91 Flag of KenyaKenya 2.258
92 Flag of TurkeyTurkey 2.272
93 Flag of GuatemalaGuatemala 2.285
94 Flag of Trinidad and TobagoTrinidad and Tobago 2.286
95 Flag of YemenYemen 2.309
96 Flag of the United StatesUnited States of America 2.317
97 Flag of IranIran 2.320
98 Flag of HondurasHonduras 2.390
99 Flag of South AfricaSouth Africa 2.399
100 Flag of the PhilippinesPhilippines 2.428
101 Flag of AzerbaijanAzerbaijan 2.448
102 Flag of VenezuelaVenezuela 2.453
103 Flag of EthiopiaEthiopia 2.479
104 Flag of UgandaUganda 2.489
105 Flag of ThailandThailand 2.491
106 Flag of ZimbabweZimbabwe 2.495
107 Flag of AlgeriaAlgeria 2.503
108 Flag of MyanmarMyanmar 2.524
109 Flag of IndiaIndia 2.530
110 Flag of UzbekistanUzbekistan 2.542
111 Flag of Sri LankaSri Lanka 2.575
112 Flag of AngolaAngola 2.587
113 Flag of Côte d'IvoireCote d'Ivoire 2.638
114 Flag of LebanonLebanon 2.662
115 Flag of PakistanPakistan 2.697
116 Flag of ColombiaColombia 2.770
117 Flag of NigeriaNigeria 2.898
118 Flag of RussiaRussia 2.903
119 Flag of IsraelIsrael 3.033
120 Flag of SudanSudan 3.182
121 Flag of IraqIraq 3.437

[edit] References

  1. ^ All information in indicator table from Global Peace Index: Indicators. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved on 2008-08-09.
  2. ^ a b c In this case, a conflict is defined as, "a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year."
  3. ^ Excludes militia and national guard forces.
  4. ^ This includes, "cash outlays of central or federal government to meet the costs of national armed forces—including strategic, land, naval, air, command, administration and support forces as well as paramilitary forces, customs forces and border guards if these are trained and equipped as a military force."
  5. ^ a b This includes transfers, purchases, or gifts of aircraft, armoured vehicles, artillery, radar systems, missiles, ships, engines
  6. ^ Weapons defined in four categories: armoured vehicles, artillery, combat aircraft, major fighting ships.
  7. ^ Global Peace Index: Methodology. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved on 2008-08-09.
  8. ^ James, Frank. "U.S. ranks 96 in new peace index", Chicago Tribune, May 30, 2007. Retrieved on 2007-08-09. 
  9. ^ Global Peace Index: Drivers of Peace. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved on 2008-08-09.
  10. ^ Charles, Deborah. "New Peace Index Ranks US Among Worst Nations", Reuters, May 30, 2007. Retrieved on 2007-08-09. 
  11. ^ "Give peace a rating", The Economist, May 31, 2007. Retrieved on 2007-08-09. 
  12. ^ Eisler, Riane. "Dark underbelly of the world's most 'peaceful' countries", Christian Science Monitor, July 26, 2007. Retrieved on 2007-08-09. 
  13. ^ Endorsers for GPI. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved on 2008-08-09.
  14. ^ Global Peace Index Launched Today. Press Release (Note:This link is to a PDF document). Vision of Humanity. Retrieved on 2008-08-09.
  15. ^ All information in the index table from Rankings. Global Peace Index. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved on 2007-08-09.

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