United Kingdom general election, 1992
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The United Kingdom general election of 1992 was held on 9 April 1992, and was the fourth consecutive victory for the Conservative Party.
John Major had won the leadership election in November 1990 succeeding the outgoing PM Margaret Thatcher. During his term leading up to the 1992 elections he oversaw the British involvement in the Gulf War, introduced legislation to replace the unpopular Community Charge with Council Tax, and signed the Maastricht treaty. The UK had slid into recession in the early 1990s along with most of the other industrialized nations. John Major announced the date of the election on 11 March shortly after Chancellor of the Exchequer Norman Lamont had delivered the Budget. The election coverage by BBC One was repeated on BBC Parliament on 9 April 2007.
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[edit] Election campaign
Under the leadership of Neil Kinnock the Labour party had undergone further modernisation following its 1987 election defeat. Labour entered the campaign confident with most opinion polls showing a slight Labour lead that if maintained suggested a hung parliament, with no single party having an overall majority.
The parties campaigned on the familiar grounds of taxation and health care. Major became known for delivering his speeches while standing on an upturned soapbox during public meetings. Meanwhile, Labour's shadow chancellor, John Smith put forward a "shadow budget".[citation needed] The Liberal Democrats under Paddy Ashdown approached Labour at one point for talks on a possible political alliance; nothing came of the talks.[citation needed]
An early setback to Labour came in the form of the "War of Jennifer's Ear" controversy, which questioned the truthfulness of a Labour party election broadcast concerning National Health Service (NHS) waiting lists.
Labour seemingly recovered from the NHS controversy, and opinion polls on 1 April (dubbed "Red Wednesday") showed a clear Labour lead. But the lead fell considerably in the following day's polls. Observers blamed the decline on the Labour Party's triumphalist "Sheffield Rally", an enthusiastic American-style political convention at the Sheffield Arena.
[edit] Labour defeat
With opinion polls at the end of the campaign showing Labour and Conservative neck and neck, the actual election result was a surprise to many in the media and in polling organisations. The apparent failure of the opinion polls to come close to predicting the actual result led to an inquiry by the Market Research Society. Following the election, most opinion polling companies changed their methodology in the belief that a 'Shy Tory Factor' affected the polling.
The 77.67% election turnout was the highest in eighteen years. There was an overall Labour swing of 2.2%, which widened the gap between Labour and the Liberal Democrats. For the Conservatives, despite the reasonable percentage of votes received (only 0.3 % down on 1987), the actual Conservative overall majority in the House of Commons was reduced to only 21 seats. This number was reduced progressively during the course of Major's term in office due to defections of MPs to other parties, by-election defeats and for a time in 1993 suspension of the Conservative whip for some MPs who voted against the government on the Maastricht Treaty - by 1996, the Conservatives held a single-seat majority and were in minority going into 1997 up until the 1997 General Election. The Conservatives in 1992 received the most total votes ever for any political party in any UK general election, beating the previous largest total vote of 13.98 million achieved by Labour in 1951 (although this was from a smaller electorate and represented a higher vote share). Nine government ministers lost their seats in 1992 including party chairman Chris Patten.
On the morning of polling day, The Sun newspaper (which had consistently supported the Conservatives throughout the campaign, except in Scotland) published a front page with the headline "If Kinnock wins today, will the last person to leave Britain please turn out the lights."; and featured an overweight woman on Page 3 under the headline, "Here's How Page 3 Will Look Under Kinnock!" Some, The Sun especially, believed this caused a late swing to the Conservatives sufficient to overcome Labour's poll lead. The Sun's analysis of the election results was headlined "It's the Sun wot won it." Tony Blair also accepted this theory of Labour's defeat and after successfully put considerable effort into securing the Sun's support for New Labour, both as Leader of the Opposition before the 1997 general election and as Prime Minister afterwards.
The results continued the Conservatives decline in Northern England with Labour regaining many seats they had not held since 1979. The Conservatives also began to lose support in the Midlands, but had a slight increase in their vote in Scotland, and had a net gain of one seat in Scotland. Labour and Plaid Cymru strengthened in Wales with Conservative support declining there, however, in the South East, South West, London and Eastern England the Conservative vote held up leading to few losses there with many considering Basildon to be indicative of a nouveau riche Working Class element referred to as Essex Man voting strongly Conservative.
It represented the second General Election defeat under Leader Neil Kinnock and Deputy Leader Roy Hattersley and both resigned soon after the election, and were succeeded by John Smith and Margaret Beckett respectively.
In retrospect, the election defeat can arguably be viewed paradoxically as a success for Labour in that the party avoided being in government during the financial crisis of Black Wednesday, that fatally damaged the reputation for economic management of the winning Conservative government and contributed to Labour's landslide win in the United Kingdom general election, 1997
[edit] Electoral system
If as few as 1,241 votes had been distributed differently the Conservative Party could have ended up with eleven fewer seats leaving them in a minority after the election.
Currently, as in the United States, British political parties focus their campaign efforts on a small number of "marginal" seats, leaving voters in "safe" areas feeling ignored. This is reflected in the comparative turnout of marginal seats versus safe seats. For example, at the 1992 General Election the marginal seat of Brecon and Radnorshire saw a turnout of 85.9% of all eligible voters casting their vote (the sitting MP was defending a majority of 56 votes and lost by only 130). In comparison the "safe" seat of Swansea West had a turnout of only 73.3%.
[edit] Other parties
In Scotland the Scottish National Party (SNP) hoped to make a major electoral breakthrough in 1992 and had run a hard independence campaign with Free by '93 as their slogan. Support for an independent Scotland polled at 50% in one newspaper poll shortly before the election.[citation needed] Although the party managed to increase its total vote by 50% since 1987, SNP hopes were dashed when the party only held onto the three seats they had won at the 1987 General Election and lost Govan which their deputy leader Jim Sillars had taken in a by-election in 1988. Sillars quit active politics after the General Election with a parting shot at the Scottish electorate as being 'ninety minute patriots'.
The election also saw a small change in Northern Ireland as the Conservatives organised and stood candidates in the province for the first time since the Ulster Unionist Party had broken with them in 1972 over the Sunningdale Agreement, although no Conservatives were elected in Northern Ireland.
Margaret Thatcher, Norman Tebbit, Denis Healey, Nigel Lawson, Geoffrey Howe, Michael Foot, David Owen and Merlyn Rees were among the prominent retirees.
[edit] Televised declarations (taken from archive recording of Election 1992)
| Constituency | Winning party | |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland South | Labour hold | |
| Torbay | Conservative hold | |
| Guildford | Conservative hold | |
| Basildon | Conservative hold | |
[edit] Results
| UK General Election 1992 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Seats | Gains | Losses | Net Gain/Loss | Seats % | Votes % | Votes | +/- | |
| Conservative | 336 | 3 | 44 | - 41 | 41.9 | 14,093,007 | - 0.3 | ||
| Labour | 271 | 43 | 1 | + 42 | 34.4 | 11,560,484 | + 3.6 | ||
| Liberal Democrat | 20 | 4 | 6 | - 2 | 17.8 | 5,999,384 | - 4.8 | ||
| Scottish National Party | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.9 | 629,564 | + 0.6 | ||
| Ulster Unionist | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 271,049 | 0.0 | ||
| Social Democratic and Labour | 4 | 1 | 0 | + 1 | 0.5 | 184,445 | 0.0 | ||
| Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 170,037 | + 0.2 | ||
| Plaid Cymru | 4 | 1 | 0 | + 1 | 0.5 | 156,796 | + 0.1 | ||
| Democratic Unionist Party | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 103,096 | 0.0 | ||
| Sinn Féin | 0 | 0 | 1 | - 1 | 0.2 | 78,291 | - 0.1 | ||
| Alliance | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 68,665 | 0.0 | ||
| Liberal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 64,744 | N/A | ||
| Natural Law | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 62,888 | N/A | ||
| Social Democrat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 35,248 | N/A | ||
| Independent Labour | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 22,844 | N/A | ||
| Ulster Popular Unionist | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 19,305 | 0.0 | ||
| Independent Conservative | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 11,356 | N/A | ||
| Monster Raving Loony | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 7,929 | + 0.1 | ||
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 7,631 | N/A | ||
| British National Party | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 7,631 | N/A | ||
| Scottish Militant Labour | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 6,287 | N/A | ||
| National Front | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 4,816 | N/A | ||
| True Labour | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 4,665 | N/A | ||
| Anti-Federalist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 4,383 | N/A | ||
| Workers' Party | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 4,359 | 0.0 | ||
| Official Conservative Hove Party | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2,658 | N/A | ||
| Loony Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2,538 | N/A | ||
| Independent Unionist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2,256 | N/A | ||
| New Agenda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2,133 | N/A | ||
| Independent Progressive Socialist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1,094 | N/A | ||
| Islamic Party | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1,085 | N/A | ||
| Revolutionary Communist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 745 | N/A | ||
| Independent Nationalist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 659 | N/A | ||
| Communist (PCC) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 603 | N/A | ||
The turnout was 33,514,074 from an electorate of 43,275,316, voting in a total of 651 seats. All parties with more than 500 votes shown. Plaid Cymru result includes votes for Green/Plaid Cymru Alliance.
[edit] See also
[edit] Manifestos
- The Best Future For Britain - 1992 Conservative manifesto.
- It's time to get Britain working again - 1992 Labour Party manifesto.
- Changing Britain for good - Liberal Democrat manifesto.
[edit] External links
- Catalogue of 1992 general election ephemera at the Archives Division of the London School of Economics.
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