Opinion polling for the United States Senate elections, 2008
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This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) Senate elections, 2008. The National Journal/Hotline rankings are based on predictions of the likelihood of seat switching party control.
[edit] Opinion polling
[edit] Democratic Incumbents
[edit] Delaware
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee Joe Biden
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Joe Biden | Republican: Christine O'Donnell |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | September 22-September 23, 2008 | 64% | 32% |
Fairleigh Dickinson | September 17-September 21, 2008 | 69% | 26% |
[edit] Illinois
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: Dick Durbin
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Dick Durbin | Republican: Steve Sauerberg |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 13, 2008 | 62% | 31% |
St. Louis Post Dispatch/ Research 2000 |
September 15-September 18, 2008 | 56% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 17, 2008 | 59% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 12, 2008 | 61% | 33% |
Southern Outreach | July 12, 2008 | 52% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 8, 2008 | 63% | 28% |
[edit] Iowa
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: Tom Harkin
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Tom Harkin | Republican: Christopher Reed |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 23, 2008 | 57% | 41% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 25, 2008 | 54% | 40% |
Survey USA | September 17-September 18, 2008 | 60% | 37% |
Des Moines Register/ Selzer & Co |
September 8-September 10, 2008 | 53% | 34% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 7, 2008 | 60% | 36% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 10, 2008 | 55% | 37% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 10, 2008 | 53% | 37% |
Research 2000 | April 21-April 23, 2008 | 59% | 20% |
[edit] Louisiana
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 9
Incumbent: Mary Landrieu
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Mary Landrieu | Republican: John Kennedy |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 21, 2008 | 53% | 43% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 25, 2008 | 54% | 41% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 17, 2008 | 56% | 39% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 9, 2008 | 51% | 45% |
Southern Media/ Opinion Research |
June 26-June 28, 2008 | 45.8% | 40.3% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 28, 2008 | 47% | 44% |
Mellman Group * | May 17-May 20, 2008 | 49% | 33% |
Southern Media/ Opinion Research |
March 26-April 9, 2008 | 50% | 38% |
Survey USA | December 6-December 10, 2007 | 46% | 42% |
Zogby International | November 29, 2007 | 38% | 45% |
[edit] Massachusetts
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: John Kerry
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: John Kerry | Republican: Jeff Beatty |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 14, 2008 | 59% | 29% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 13, 2008 | 63% | 31% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 23, 2008 | 65% | 30% |
Survey USA | September 22-September 23, 2008 | 63% | 25% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 5, 2008 | 59% | 32% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 30, 2008 | 58% | 27% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 28, 2008 | 63% | 25% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 22, 2008 | 55% | 30% |
Zogby International | July 8, 2007 | 58% | 23% |
[edit] Michigan
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: Carl Levin
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Carl Levin | Republican: Jack Hoogendyk |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 8, 2008 | 61% | 36% |
Strategic Vision | September 22-September 24, 2008 | 57% | 29% |
EPIC-MRA | September 14-September 17, 2008 | 54% | 26% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 10, 2008 | 57% | 38% |
Public Policy Polling | September 6-September 7, 2008 | 51% | 36% |
Strategic Vision | September 5-September 7, 2008 | 58% | 28% |
EPIC-MRA | August 18-August 21, 2008 | 59% | 27% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 7, 2008 | 57% | 39% |
Public Policy Polling | July 23-July 27, 2008 | 54% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 10, 2008 | 59% | 36% |
Public Policy Polling | June 21-June 22, 2008 | 54% | 32% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 11, 2008 | 55% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 7, 2008 | 54% | 37% |
[edit] Montana
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: Max Baucus
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Max Baucus | Republican: Robert Kelleher |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | September 7, 2008 | 64% | 31% |
[edit] New Jersey
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 13
Incumbent: Frank Lautenberg
[edit] Rhode Island
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: Jack Reed
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Jack Reed | Republican: Bob Tingle |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | July 1, 2008 | 72% | 20% |
[edit] South Dakota
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 20
Incumbent: Tim Johnson
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Tim Johnson | Republican: Joel Dykstra |
---|---|---|---|
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | August 12-August 14, 2008 | 61% | 34% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 9, 2008 | 60% | 38% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 10, 2008 | 60% | 34% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 4, 2008 | 63% | 28% |
[edit] West Virginia
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: Jay Rockefeller
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Jay Rockefeller | Republican: Jay Wolfe |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | September 24, 2008 | 61% | 33% |
[edit] Republican Incumbents
[edit] Alabama
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: Jeff Sessions
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Vivian Davis Figures | Republican: Jeff Sessions |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 9, 2008 | 33% | 64% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 22, 2008 | 30% | 59% |
SurveyUSA | September 16 - 17, 2008 | 31% | 66% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 31, 2008 | 31% | 58% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 30, 2008 | 34% | 58% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 27, 2008 | 29% | 62% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 2, 2008 | 36% | 57% |
Rasmussen Reports | November 14, 2007 | 30% | 62% |
SurveyUSA | August 25 - 27, 2007 | 37% | 59% |
[edit] Alaska
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 5
Incumbent: Ted Stevens
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Mark Begich | Republican: Ted Stevens |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 6, 2008 | 48% | 49% |
Ivan Moore Research | September 20 - September 22, 2008 | 48% | 46% |
Daily Kos/Research 2000 | September 15-September 17, 2008 | 50% | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 9, 2008 | 48% | 46% |
Moore Information * | September 2 - September 3, 2008 | 46% | 44% |
Ivan Moore Research | August 30 - September 2, 2008 | 49% | 46% |
Ivan Moore Research | August 9 - 12, 2008 | 56% | 39% |
Ivan Moore Research | July 30 - 31, 2008 | 56% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 30, 2008 | 50% | 37% |
Ivan Moore Research | July 18 - 22, 2008 | 51% | 43% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 17, 2008 | 52% | 44% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 14 - 16, 2008 | 47% | 45% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 16, 2008 | 44% | 46% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 14, 2008 | 47% | 45% |
Research 2000 | May 12 - 14, 2008 | 48% | 43% |
Hellenthal & Associates, DSCC * | May 6 - 10, 2008 | 51% | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 7, 2008 | 45% | 46% |
Research 2000 | December 3 - 6, 2007 | 47% | 41% |
[edit] Colorado
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 4
Incumbent: None
[edit] Georgia
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 14
Incumbent: Saxby Chambliss
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Jim Martin | Republican: Saxby Chambliss |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 22, 2008 | 45% | 47% |
Survey USA | October 12, 2008 | 43% | 46% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 7, 2008 | 44% | 50% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | October 1, 2008 | 44% | 45% |
Survey USA | September 29, 2008 | 44% | 46% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 16, 2008 | 43% | 50% |
Survey USA | September 14-September 16, 2008 | 36% | 53% |
Strategic Vision | September 7-September 9, 2008 | 36% | 54% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 14, 2008 | 44% | 50% |
Mellman Group/ Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee * |
August 6-August 10, 2008 | 36% | 42% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 17, 2008 | 40% | 51% |
Strategic Vision | June 27-June 29, 2008 | 28% | 57% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 26, 2008 | 39% | 52% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 4, 2008 | 36% | 52% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 6, 2008 | 33% | 54% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 20, 2008 | 33% | 51% |
[edit] Idaho
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 17
Incumbent: None
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Larry LaRocco | Republican: Jim Risch | Independent: Rex Rammell |
---|---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 16-September 17, 2008 | 33% | 56% | |
Rasmussen Reports | September 9, 2008 | 30% | 58% | |
Greg Smith & Associates | August 18-August 22, 2008 | 30% | 41% | 3% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 28-July 30, 2008 | 32% | 42% | 5% |
Lake Research * | May 20-May 25, 2008 | 28% | 43% | 6% |
Robinson Research * | November 26-December 12, 2007 | 27% | 46% | |
Myers Research * | November 13-November 19, 2007 | 34% | 48% | |
Survey USA | September 6-September 8, 2007 | 36% | 52% |
[edit] Kansas
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 16
Incumbent: Pat Roberts
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Jim Slattery | Republican: Pat Roberts |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 22, 2008 | 35% | 57% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 13, 2008 | 36% | 55% |
Survey USA | September 22, 2008 | 35% | 55% |
Survey USA | August 18-August 20, 2008 | 31% | 58% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 11, 2008 | 37% | 56% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 15, 2008 | 33% | 61% |
TargetPoint Consulting, Inc. | June 27-July 1, 2008 | 34% | 54% |
SurveyUSA/ Public Opinion Strategies |
June 22-June 23, 2008 | 34% | 51% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 11, 2008 | 39% | 48% |
Cooper & Secrest * | June 5-June 8, 2008 | 36% | 48% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | June 2-June 4, 2008 | 38% | 50% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 13, 2008 | 40% | 52% |
[edit] Kentucky
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 11
Incumbent: Minority Leader Mitch McConnell
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Bruce Lunsford | Republican: Mitch McConnell |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 21, 2008 | 43% | 50% |
Survey USA | October 20, 2008 | 48% | 48% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 30, 2008 | 42% | 51% |
Louisville Courier-Journal/ Mason Dixon |
September 22-September 25, 2008 | 44% | 45% |
Survey USA | September 21-September 22, 2008 | 46% | 49% |
Daily Kos/Research 2000 | September 15-September 17, 2008 | 37% | 50% |
Voter/Consumer Research * | September 7-September 9, 2008 | 30% | 52% |
Survey USA | August 9-August 11, 2008 | 40% | 52% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 28-July 30, 2008 | 38% | 49% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 29, 2008 | 42% | 52% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 25, 2008 | 41% | 48% |
Voter/Consumer Research * | June 15-June 17, 2008 | 39% | 50% |
Survey USA | June 13-June 16, 2008 | 46% | 50% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 22, 2008 | 49% | 44% |
Voter/Consumer Research | May 21-May 22, 2008 | 39% | 50% |
Research 2000/ Lexington Herald-Leader/ WKYT-TV * |
May 7-May 9, 2008 | 36% | 48% |
Voter/Consumer Research | January 6-January 8, 2008 | 37% | 52% |
[edit] Maine
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 12
Incumbent: Susan Collins
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Tom Allen | Republican: Susan Collins |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 20, 2008 | 43% | 54% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 2, 2008 | 43% | 53% |
Survey USA | September 23, 2008 | 39% | 55% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 17, 2008 | 42% | 55% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 8-September 10, 2008 | 38% | 57% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 12, 2008 | 40% | 55% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 17, 2008 | 43% | 53% |
Critical Insights | June 1-June 27, 2008 | 40% | 50% |
Pan Atlantic SMS Group | June 10-June 18, 2008 | 31% | 56% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 16, 2008 | 42% | 49% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 14, 2008 | 42% | 52% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 1, 2008 | 38% | 54% |
McLaughlin & Associates/ Coalition for a Democratic Workforce * |
March 6-March 9, 2008 | 31% | 54% |
Critical Insights | October 12-October 30, 2007 | 34% | 54% |
Survey USA | October 26-October 29, 2007 | 38% | 55% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | October 15-October 17, 2007 | 33% | 56% |
[edit] Minnesota
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 8
Incumbent: Norm Coleman
[edit] Mississippi
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: Thad Cochran
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Erik Fleming | Republican: Thad Cochran |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | June 24, 2008 | 32% | 59% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 27, 2008 | 35% | 58% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 10
Incumbent: Roger Wicker(Special Election to Fill Trent Lott's Remaining Term)
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Ronnie Musgrove | Republican: Roger Wicker |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 27, 2008 | 43% | 54% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 30, 2008 | 47% | 49% |
Insider Advantage/Poll Position | September 24, 2008 | 43% | 48% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 8-September 10, 2008 | 43% | 48% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 21, 2008 | 43% | 52% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 28, 2008 | 43% | 52% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 21-July 23, 2008 | 44% | 45% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 24, 2008 | 47% | 48% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 27, 2008 | 47% | 46% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | May 19-May 21, 2008 | 42% | 46% |
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee/ Hamiliton Campaigns * |
May 15-May 18, 2008 | 48% | 40% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | December 10-December 12, 2007 | 39% | 47% |
[edit] Nebraska
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 18
Incumbent: None
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Scott Kleeb | Republican: Mike Johanns |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | September 30, 2008 | 38% | 52% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 28, 2008 | 34% | 60% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 23, 2008 | 33% | 60% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | May 19-May 21, 2008 | 31% | 58% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 15, 2008 | 40% | 55% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | November 12-November 14, 2007 | 28% | 59% |
[edit] New Hampshire
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 3
Incumbent: John Sununu
[edit] New Mexico
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 2
Incumbent: None
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Tom Udall | Republican: Steve Pearce |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 13, 2008 | 57% | 37% |
Survey USA | October 13, 2008 | 58% | 40% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 1, 2008 | 55% | 41% |
Public Policy Polling | September 17-September 19, 2008 | 57% | 37% |
Survey USA | September 13, 2008 | 56% | 41% |
Myers Research/Grove Insight | September 10-September 12, 2008 | 57% | 41% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 8, 2008 | 51% | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 20, 2008 | 52% | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 24, 2008 | 61% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 18, 2008 | 58% | 30% |
Survey USA | May 30-June 1, 2008 | 60% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 14, 2008 | 53% | 37% |
Survey USA | May 12-May 14, 2008 | 60% | 36% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 8, 2008 | 54% | 40% |
New Mexico State University | January 22-January 31, 2008 | 53% | 31% |
Survey USA | November 16-November 19, 2007 | 54% | 40% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | November 5-November 7, 2007 | 54% | 37% |
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates * | October 23-October 27, 2007 | 50% | 33% |
[edit] North Carolina
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 7
Incumbent: Elizabeth Dole
[edit] Oklahoma
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 15
Incumbent: Jim Inhofe
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Andrew Rice | Republican: Jim Inhofe |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 18-October 19, 2008 | 39% | 51% |
Survey USA | September 28-September 29, 2008 | 37% | 53% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 16-September 18, 2008 | 34% | 56% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 11, 2008 | 39% | 55% |
Survey USA | September 5-September 7, 2008 | 34% | 56% |
Benenson Strategy Group * | August 12-August 14, 2008 | 41% | 50% |
Sooner Poll | July 19-July 23, 2008 | 30% | 52% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | June 9-June 11, 2008 | 31% | 53% |
Tulsa World/KOTV/SoonerPoll | December 16-December 19, 2007 | 19% | 60% |
Benenson Strategy Group * | December 8-December 12, 2007 | 35% | 49% |
[edit] Oregon
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 6
Incumbent: Gordon Smith
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Jeff Merkley | Republican: Gordon Smith |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 25-October 26, 2008 | 49% | 42% |
Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall | October 23-October 25, 2008 | 45% | 40% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 14, 2008 | 47% | 47% |
Survey USA | October 11-October 12, 2008 | 46% | 41% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 22-September 24, 2008 | 45% | 40% |
Survey USA | September 23, 2008 | 44% | 42% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 15, 2008 | 45% | 46% |
Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall | September 11-September 14, 2008 | 39% | 42% |
Benenson Strategy Group * | September 7-September 9, 2008 | 43% | 41% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 7, 2008 | 44% | 50% |
Survey USA | August 4, 2008 | 37% | 49% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 15, 2008 | 43% | 41% |
U.S. Chamber of Commerce * | June 26, 2008 | 34% | 38% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 11, 2008 | 38% | 47% |
Feldman Group/ Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee * |
May 12-May 16, 2008 | 42% | 45% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 7, 2008 | 42% | 45% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 13, 2007 | 30% | 48% |
[edit] South Carolina
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: Lindsey Graham
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Bob Conley | Republican: Lindsey Graham |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 13, 2008 | 40% | 56% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 22-24, 2008 | 42% | 51% |
Survey USA | September 22, 2008 | 40% | 54% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 18, 2008 | 41% | 50% |
Public Policy Polling | July 9-11, 2008 | 32% | 54% |
[edit] Tennessee
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: Lamar Alexander
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Bob Tuke | Republican: Lamar Alexander |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 16, 2008 | 34% | 62% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 29, 2008 | 32% | 56% |
Middle Tennessee State University | September 15-September 27, 2008 | 26% | 50% |
Ayers, McHenry & Associates * | August 10-August 12, 2008 | 30% | 60% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 3, 2008 | 30% | 59% |
Ayers, McHenry & Associates * | March 5-March 9, 2008 | 28% | 59% |
[edit] Texas
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 19
Incumbent: John Cornyn
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Rick Noriega | Republican: John Cornyn |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 21, 2008 | 40% | 55% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 29, 2008 | 43% | 50% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 21, 2008 | 38% | 52% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 30, 2008 | 39% | 50% |
University of Texas | July 18-July 30, 2008 | 31% | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 25, 2008 | 35% | 48% |
Texas Lyceum * | June 12-June 20, 2008 | 36% | 38% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 2, 2008 | 35% | 52% |
Baselice & Associates * | May 20 - May 25, 2008 | 33% | 49% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | May 5 - May 7, 2008 | 44% | 48% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 1, 2008 | 43% | 47% |
Research 2000 | September 24 - 26, 2007 | 35% | 51% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 18, 2007 | 30% | 53% |
[edit] Virginia
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 1
Incumbent: None
[edit] Wyoming
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: John Barasso(Special Election to Fill Craig Thomas' Remaining Term)
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Nick Carter | Republican: John Barasso |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 22-September 24, 2008 | 34% | 58% |
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # --
Incumbent: Mike Enzi
Poll Source | Dates administered | Democrat: Chris Rothfuss | Republican: Mike Enzi |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 22-September 24, 2008 | 35% | 59% |
[edit] Other 2008 Senate Races
Incumbents in Bold
State | Primary Date | Democrat | Republican | Independent |
---|---|---|---|---|
Arkansas
National Journal/Hotline Ranking # -- |
May 20, 2008 | Mark Pryor | None | Rebekeh Kennedy(Green) |
[edit] Notes:
- * a poll commissioned by an organization affiliated with a specific candidate (not used in calculating results below).
[edit] Predicted Results Based on Polling and Predictions
Projected Composition of the 111th Senate: Democrats: 55(+6), Republicans: 38(-11), Too close to call: 5, Independents: 2
Republican Holds
|
Democratic Holds
|
Swing Seats
|
Tie
|
In Play
- GA-Saxby Chambliss
- MS-Roger Wicker
- KY-Mitch McConnell
[edit] Maps of most recent polling data
Safe Democrat - >8% (12) (+4 Democrat - 53D / 45R / 2I ) |
Leans Democrat - >2% (1) (+5 Democrat - 54D / 44R / 2I ) |
Tossup - within 2% (2) |
Leans Republican - >2% (2) (-7 Republican - 56D / 42R / 2I ) |
Safe Republican - >8% (12) (-9 Republican - 58D / 40R / 2I ) |
Unpolled - (6) |
*Please note maps are based on a different algorithm than totals above. Click on map for details. Maps are based on an average for previous polling data, and as such may be slow to show changes in countrywide opinion. Unpolled elections are presumed safe for incumbent in +/- totals. Map and totals updated on September 18 2008.
[edit] Election Day projection
Updated 03:25, 29 October 2008 (UTC)
- Data derived from Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com weighted averages and statistical polling analysis, which determines what the best guess as to what will happen on Election Day is rather than what would happen if the election were held today. (Methodology)
- Each state is colored according to which candidate is currently projected to win, and both the state's total electoral votes and the winning candidate's projected margin of victory are listed.