United States presidential election, 2008 timeline

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The following is a timeline of events leading up to the upcoming 2008 U.S. presidential election:

Contents

[edit] 2002

  • October 7 - Maureen Dowd writes article in The New York Times entitled "Can Hillary Upgrade?" which claims that Hillary Clinton, serving as the junior Senator from New York, has mollified her criticism of the then-pending invasion of Iraq because "Clinton knows that any woman who hopes to be elected president cannot afford to be seen as too much of a dove," and that she might seek the Democratic Party's nomination in 2008.[1]

[edit] 2003

  • November 27 - In an interview with Germany's Bunte magazine, Hillary Clinton states that she will not be a candidate for the presidency in 2004, and when told that some were disappointed with that decision, she replied: "I know. Well, perhaps I'll do it next time around," widely interpreted that she will consider a run in the 2008 race, if the 2004 Democratic nominee is unsuccessful.[2]

[edit] 2004

  • July 27 - Much of America and the world is first introduced to Illinois State Senator Barack Obama when he makes a well-received speech at the Democratic National Convention, as a candidate for United States Senator in the state of Illinois. Afterwards, political experts and Democratic insiders begin to speculate Obama as a future candidate for higher political office.
  • November 2 - President George W. Bush wins re-election over Senator John F. Kerry.
  • November 9 - Following Senator John Kerry's loss in the 2004 election, Cameron Kerry, John Kerry's brother and political confidante stated in regards to another presidential run: "That's conceivable... I don't know why that [last week's loss] should necessarily be it. I think it's too early to assess. But I think that he is going to continue to fight on for the values, ideals, and issues this campaign is about."[3]

[edit] 2005

  • February 7 - After the reelection inauguration of George W. Bush, in an interview with Fox News Sunday, Vice President Dick Cheney was asked whether he would seek the Republican nomination for the presidency in 2008. He replied: "I've got my plans laid out, I'm going to serve this president for the next four years and then I'm out of here." When pressed further, Cheney also responded to a potential presidential run by stating "Not only no, but hell no" and quoted General William Tecumseh Sherman's famous statement "If nominated, I will not run. If elected, I will not serve."[4]

[edit] 2006

[edit] October 2006

  • October 12 - Former Democratic Virginia Governor and widely-speculated 2008 contender Mark Warner states that he will not seek the presidency in 2008.[11]
  • October 22 - After his decisive victory in November 2004, freshman Illinois Senator Barack Obama had stated that "I can unequivocally say I will not be running for national office in four years."[12] He changed his mind about a presidential run in October 2006, stating: "I don't want to be coy about this: given the responses that I've been getting over the last several months, I have thought about the possibility, but I have not thought about it with the seriousness and depth that I think is required." "After November 7, I'll sit down and consider, and if at some point I change my mind, I will make a public announcement and everybody will be able to go at me."[13]
  • October 30 - Massachusetts Senator John Kerry makes a "botched joke" about education and Iraq, which dominates the news for several days.
  • October 30 - Republican Representative Duncan Hunter from California announces the formation of an exploratory committee for a presidential run.[14]

[edit] November 2006

[edit] December 2006

[edit] 2007

[edit] State of nomination races at beginning of 2007

Polling Results
Party National
(Gallup, Dec. 11–14)[35]

Iowa
(KCCI-TV in Des Moines)[36]

New Hampshire
(Research 2000)[37]

Dem.
  • Edwards 22%
  • Obama 22%
  • Vilsack 12%
  • Clinton 10%
  • Gore 7%
  • Kerry 5%
  • Clark 4%
  • Kucinich 4%
  • Biden 1%
  • Bayh 1%
  • Richardson 1%
  • Clinton 22%
  • Obama 21%
  • Edwards 16%
  • Gore 10%
  • Kerry 7%
  • Clark 4%
  • Kucinich 4%
  • Biden 2%
  • Vilsack 2%
  • Bayh 2%
  • Richardson 2%
Rep.
  • McCain 27%
  • Giuliani 26%
  • Romney 9%
  • Gingrich 7%
  • Rice 4%
  • Pataki 1%
  • Jeb Bush 1%
  • Allen 1%
  • Brownback 1%
  • Giuliani 26%
  • McCain 25%
  • Romney 10%
  • Gingrich 8%
  • Rice 6%
  • Pataki 3%
  • Bush 1%
  • Allen 1%
  • Brownback 1%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Hunter 0%

[edit] January 2007

[edit] February 2007

[edit] March 2007

[edit] State of the race at the start of the second quarter, 2007

Polling Results
Party National Iowa New Hampshire
Rep.

Time Magazine, March 23–26:[74]

Zogby, March 28:[75]

American Research Group, March 19–22:[76]

  • McCain 23%
  • Giuliani 19%
  • Romney 17%
  • F. Thompson 10%
Dem.

Time, March 23–26:[74]

Zogby, March 26:[77]

  • Edwards 27%
  • Clinton 25%
  • Obama 23%
  • Biden 3%
  • Richardson 3%
  • Kucinich 1%
  • Dodd 1%

Am. Rsch. Grp., March 19–22:[78]

  • Clinton 37%
  • Obama 23%
  • Edwards 20%
Fundraising totals, Jan–March
  • Democrats: Clinton $26 million+ $10 million from her Senate campaign account, her total receipts: $36 million; Obama $25 million; Edwards $14 million; Bill Richardson: $6 million; Dodd $4 million + $5 million from his Senate campaign account and had $7.5 million cash on hand; Biden $4 million + $2 million transferred from his Senate campaign account.[80][82][83][84]

[edit] April 2007

[edit] May 2007

[edit] June 2007

[edit] State of the race at the start of the third quarter, 2007

Delegate totals, as of June 30
Polling Results
Party National[106] Iowa[107] Nevada[108][109] New Hampshire
Rep.
  • Romney 23%
  • F. Thompson 17%
  • Giuliani 14%
  • McCain 10%
  • T. Thompson 6%
  • Huckabee 5%
  • Newt Gingrich 4%
  • Brownback 3%
  • Paul 2%
  • Tancredo 2%
  • Hunter 1%
  • Gilmore 1%
  • Chuck Hagel 1%
  • Undecided 11%
  • Romney 28%
  • Giuliani 18%
  • F. Thompson 18%
  • McCain 8%
  • Gingrich 4%
  • Huckabee 3%
  • Undecided 18%

CNN–WMUR:[110]

  • Romney 28%
  • Giuliani 20%
  • McCain 20%
  • F. Thompson 11%
  • Gingrich 4%
  • Paul 3%
  • Brownback 2%
  • Huckabee 2%
  • Tancredo 1%

7NEWS–Suffolk University:[111]

  • Romney 26%
  • Giuliani 22%
  • F. Thompson 13%
  • McCain 13%
  • (no one else mentioned)
Dem.
  • Edwards 26%
  • Obama 21%
  • Clinton 20%
  • Richardson 11%
  • Biden 4%
  • Dodd 2%
  • Kucinich 1%
  • Undecided 15%
  • Clinton 39%
  • Obama 17%
  • Edwards 12%
  • Richardson 7%
  • Biden 2%
  • Al Gore 1%
  • Dodd 1%

CNN–WMUR:[112]

  • Clinton 36%
  • Obama 22%
  • Edwards 12%
  • Gore 12%
  • Richardson 10%
  • Biden 4%
  • Kucinich 1%
  • Dodd 0%
  • Gravel 0%
  • Someone else 2%
  • No opinion 1%

7NEWS–Suffolk University:[111]

  • Clinton 37%
  • Obama 19%
  • Richardson 9%
  • Edwards 9%
  • (no one else mentioned)[113]
Fundraising totals (April–June 2007)[114]
Republicans Democrats

[edit] July 2007

[edit] August 2007

[edit] September 2007

[edit] State of the race at the start of the final quarter, 2007

Delegate totals (superdelegate endorsements)
Fundraising totals, July–September 2007
Democratic[127] Republican[citation needed]
Polling results
Party National Iowa Nevada New Hampshire
Dem.

Rasmussen Reports:[128]

Newsweek, 09/29/2007:[129]

Am. Rsch. Grp.:[130]

  • Clinton 51%
  • Edwards 14%
  • Obama 11%
  • Richardson 5%
  • Biden 4%
  • Dodd 2%
  • Kucinich 1%
  • Gravel 1%

Am. Rsch. Grp.:[131]

  • Clinton 41%
  • Obama 22%
  • Edwards 10%
  • Richardson 8%
Rep. [citation needed][132]

Pollster.com:[133]

  • Romney 24%
  • Giuliani 16%
  • Huckabee 13%
  • Thompson 13%
  • McCain 10%
  • Brownback 5%
  • Paul 4%
  • Hunter 2%

Am. Rsch. Grp.:[130]

  • Giuliani 31%
  • Romney 30%
  • McCain 11%
  • Thompson 9%
  • Brownback 4%
  • Huckabee 2%
  • Paul 1%
  • Tancredo 1%
  • Hunter 1%
[citation needed]
  • Romney 28%
  • Giuliani 20%
  • McCain 17%
  • Huckabee 8%
  • Thompson 8%
  • Paul 6%
  • Brownback 2%
  • Hunter 1%
Other Republican candidate polling results
  • South Carolina: Thompson 21%; Romney 16%; Giuliani 16%; McCain 16%; Huckabee 11%; Paul 3%; Brownback 2%; Hunter 2%[133]
  • Michigan: Giuliani 19%; Romney 16%; McCain 15%; Thompson 14%; Huckabee 6% Paul 5%; Brownback 2%; Hunter 2%[133]
  • Florida: Giuliani 29%; Thompson 19%; Romney 16%; McCain 10%; Huckabee 6%; Paul 3%; Brownback 1%[133]

[edit] October 2007

[edit] November 2007

  • November 2 - Deadline for submitting applications to get on New Hampshire Primary ballot.[142]
  • November 5 - Ron Paul raises the most money on a single day of any GOP candidate to date with $4.3 million.[143] He also raises the most money through online donations of any candidate in US history.[144][145] Paul would later beat his own records on December 16.
  • November 8 - Republican National committee strips all states selecting delegates prior to February 5 of half their delegates.
  • November 9 - Announcement of Michigan primary candidate lists.[citation needed]
  • November 15 - CNN/Nevada Democratic Party Nevada Democratic Presidential Debate at UNLV in Las Vegas, NV
  • November 28 - Republican debate hosted by YouTube/Google and CNN.
  • November 30 - Man takes hostages in Hillary Clinton's campaign offices.[citation needed]

[edit] December 2007

  • December 1 - "The Heartland Presidential Candidate Forum – A Conversation with Real People on Real Issues," cosponsored by coalition of over two dozen community organizations including the Center for Community Change, Iowa Citizens for Community Improvement, and Grass Roots Organizing at Hy-Vee Hall in Des Moines, IA
  • December 4 - Republican debate sponsored by the Fox News Channel and the Republican Party of Iowa. Only candidates polling nationally at 5% or higher are allowed to participate.[147]
  • December 6 - Seeking to assuage fears by Christian conservatives of a Mormon president, Mitt Romney delivers a major address on his faith and religion in the United States at the George H.W. Bush Presidential Library. [148]
  • December 7 - "Special" Absentee ballots become available in California, and the voting officially begins.[149][150]
  • December 9 - Univision Republican debate at BankUnited Center at the University of Miami, in Coral Gables, FL.
  • December 10 - Scheduled Democratic debate on CBS in Los Angeles, CA. Canceled due to Writers' Strike.
  • December 16 - Ron Paul (R-TX) raises more than $6 million online in 24 hours. This is the largest single day collection of any candidate in US history and the largest collection of the fourth quarter.[151]
  • December 17- 2000 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee Joe Lieberman endorses Republican candidate John McCain.
  • December 20 - Tom Tancredo announces that he is dropping out of the race for the Republican nomination.[152]
  • December 28 - former Black Panther chairperson Elaine Brown ends her candidacy for the Green Party nomination [1].
  • December 31 - Federal Election Commission Chairman Michael Toner estimated in January 2007 that a serious prospective candidate for President "needs to raise $100 million" by the end of 2007 "just to be 'taken seriously.'"[153]

[edit] 2008

[edit] State of the race at the beginning of 2008

Democrats

Delegate totals (superdelegate endorsements): Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton 36; Sen. Barack Obama 38; Former Sen. John Edwards 18; New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson 7[154]

National polling

Hillary Clinton 40%; Barack Obama 32%; John Edwards 13%; Will not vote/not sure 4%; Bill Richardson 3%;Dennis Kucinich 2%;Joe Biden 3%; Christopher Dodd 1%; Other.8%; Mike Gravel .8[155]

Iowa

Barack Obama 28%; Hillary Clinton 24%; John Edwards 22%; Bill Richardson 10%; Joe Biden 5%;Dennis Kucinich 1%; Chris Dodd 1[156]

New Hampshire

Hillary Clinton 39%; Barack Obama 37%; Edwards 22%; Undecided 3%; Richardson 4%; Gravel 2%; Kucinich 2%[130]

Nevada

Barack Obama 32%, Hillary Clinton 30%, Edwards 27%, Richardson 2%, [157]

Republicans
Delegate totals

None as yet chosen.

Fundraising totals October-December
National polling
Iowa
New Hampshire

McCain 35%; Romney 27%;Huckabee 12%; Giuliani 10%; Paul 7%; Undecided 4%; Hunter 2%; Thompson 2%; Keyes 1%[130]

[edit] The Early Primaries: January 1 to February 4, 2008

The dates for caucuses and primaries are still subject to change.[158]

[edit] February 5, 2008 - Super Tuesday or National Primary Day

The results:[176]
State Democratic Winner Republican Winner State Democratic Winner Republican Winner
Alabama Obama Huckabee Massachusetts Clinton Romney
Alaska Obama Romney Minnesota Obama Romney
Arizona Clinton John McCain Missouri Obama John McCain
Arkansas Clinton Huckabee Montana Romney
California Clinton John McCain New Jersey Clinton John McCain
Colorado Obama Romney New Mexico Clinton
Connecticut Obama John McCain New York Clinton John McCain
Delaware Obama John McCain North Dakota Obama Romney
Georgia Obama Huckabee Oklahoma Clinton John McCain
Idaho Obama Tennessee Clinton Huckabee
Illinois Obama John McCain Utah Obama Romney
Kansas Obama West Virginia Huckabee (on 2nd ballot)

[edit] State of the race at the halfway point

Republican Delegate Count
McCain 604, Romney 244, Huckabee 187, Paul 44
Democratic Delegate Count
908 for Obama, 884 for Clinton[179]

[edit] The rest of February 2008

[edit] March 2008

[edit] The State of the race at the start of "Spring Break"

Delegate count: Republican: John McCain 1334; Mike Huckabee 278; Ron Paul14

Democratic: Barack Obama 1614; Hillary Clinton1487; John Edwards 24

[edit] March 2008 continued

[edit] April 2008

[edit] May 2008

[edit] June 2008

[edit] State of the Race at the end of the Primary

2008 Democratic presidential primaries delegate count
As of June 10, 2008
Candidate Actual
pledged delegates1
(3,253 of 3,909 total)
Predicted
pledged delegates2
(3,409 of 3,909 total)
Estimated
superdelegates2
(694 of 825 total)
Estimated total delegates2
(4,103 of 4,934 total;
2,118 needed to win)
Barack Obama 1,661 1,763 438 2,201
Hillary Rodham Clinton 1,592 1,640 256 1,896
John Edwards 6 6
Color key

     1st place      Candidate has suspended her campaign      Candidate has withdrawn his campaign

Sources:
1 "Primary Season Election Results", The New York Times ((regularly updated)). 
2 "Election Center 2008 Primaries and Caucuses: Results: Democratic Scorecard", CNN ((regularly updated)). 
This box: view  talk  edit

Delegate statistics:

  • Total number of delegates: 4050 (797 unpledged superdelegates and 3,253 pledged elected delegates)
  • Delegates required for nomination: 2118
2008 Republican presidential primaries delegate count
As of June 10, 2008
Candidates Actual
pledged delegates1
(1,780 of 1,917)
Estimated total delegates2
(2,159 of 2,380;
1,191 needed to win)
John McCain 1,378 1,575
Mike Huckabee 240 278
Mitt Romney 148 271
Ron Paul 14 35
This box: view  talk  edit
Color key: 1st place Candidate has
withdrawn
Sources:
1 "Primary Season Election Results", The New York Times ((regularly updated)). 
2 "Election Center 2008 - Republican Delegate Scorecard", CNN ((regularly updated)). 

[edit] July 2008

[edit] August 2008

[edit] September 2008

[edit] October 2008

[edit] November 2008

[edit] December 2008

  • December 15 - Electoral College casts official votes for President and Vice-President; each state's electors meet in their respective state capitals

[edit] 2009

[edit] References

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