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  Israel's irrelevant election On 6 February Israel will go to the polls in a unique election pitting current Prime Minister Ehud Barak against opposition leader Ariel Sharon. As Sentinel's Jeremy Binnie reports, however, the Israeli public appears uninterested and indifferent to the result. 23/01/01  
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ARTICLES:Sentinel Risk Pointers: Eastern Mediterranean - Israel Jane's Catalogue: Sentinel Security Assessments - Eastern Mediterranean The Middle East in 2001 DRC in disarray, with peace still nowhere in sight Uncertainty reigns in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), where almost two years of stalemate may be broken by the assassination of President Laurent Desire Kabila. The Kinshasa government and its allies are in a state of disarray as they scramble to maintain political calm in the Congolese capital while still holding back the Rwandan and Ugandan invaders on the front lines. 22/01/01  RELATED
ARTICLES:DR Congo after Kabila Obituary: President Laurent Désire Kabila Jane's Sentinel Risk Pointers: Democratic Republic of Congo (Zaire) Jane's Catalogue: Jane's Sentinel Security Assessments: Central Africa IAF sets goal for self-sufficient airborne systems The Israel Air Force (IAF) is to reduce its emphasis on unmanned air vehicles (UAVs) and stealth technology in its combat doctrine to focus on what it calls self-sufficient airborne platforms. 23/01/01
RELATED ARTICLES:First Arrow for Israeli Air Force Israel's F-16 ACE at Le Bourget Egyptian Navy orders four Ambassador MK III PCFGs  The Egyptian Navy has placed an order in excess of $400 million for four new Fast Attack Craft - Missile (PCFG). The four Ambassador MK III PCFGs will be built by the USA's Halter Marine, a subsidiary of Friede Goldman Halter, at its Mississippi facilities, with construction expected to begin in the second quarter of this year. 11/01/01
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ARTICLES:Egypt bolsters navy Special Report- Jane's Middle East/Africa News After Saddam, who will take power in Iraq? An unconfirmed report that Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein suffered a stroke while observing a military parade in Baghdad on 31 December has focused attention once more on what would happen if he dies or becomes physically incapacitated -- even though claims that Saddam is seriously ill have long been denied by Iraq. 04/01/01 RELATED
ARTICLES:Sentinel Risk Pointers: Gulf States Suffering Saddam? Barak needs a deal AS WE PREDICTED last week, Ehud Barak, the Israeli prime minister, has made a gamble and called for an early direct election of the head of government according to the country's peculiar constitution. Barak is now, as we also reported, working very hard on a formula for victory: the release of three Israeli soldiers and a civilian businessman with links to the government now held by the Lebanese fundamentalist organisation Hizbullah. 20/12/00 
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ARTICLES:2010 - The Challenges to Global Security: Ehud BARAK The successor to 'Carlos' may strike an Israeli target ACCORDING to an unconfirmed report by Israeli military sources, Imad Mughniyeh, a master-terrorist also known as the "Lebanese Carlos", visited France and Germany last month to meet with his agents, who have been inactive, awaiting orders (such agents are known in the West as sleepers). He is said to have provided them with a plan to hit prime Jewish and Israeli targets in Europe and the financial resources to carry out such attacks, according to these sources. 14/12/00
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ARTICLES:Special Report: Peace process slams into the walls of Jerusalem Russia's arms for Iran With Russia seemingly determined to abandon its once secret deal with the US to end arms exports to Iran, JID investigates how Moscow's need for cash is helping to fuel a dangerous arms race in the Middle East. 08/12/00  RELATED
ARTICLES:Iran plans military axpansion Sentinel Security Assessments: Iran Iran now able to deploy Shahab-3 Bibi's Comeback ACCORDING to well placed Israeli political analysts for both the ruling Labour party and the opposition Likud Block, the return of the controversial former prime minister, Benjamin ('Bibi') Netanyahu, to the political arena and to his old job is inevitable. These sources also say they believe that Ehud Barak, the present prime minister, is politically finished. A secret opinion poll commissioned recently by the Labour party leadership indicated that if a direct election for prime minister (according to Israel's eccentric system) were to be held now, Netanyahu would win easily with 15% more votes than Barak. (Netanyahu lost to Barak in May 1999.) 08/12/00
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ARTICLES:Europe's help for Palestine Israelis, Palestinians negotiate summit terms Iran plans military expansion Iran is embarking on a major military expansion which will have far reaching security implication for the entire Middle East. JID analyses intelligence data from Tehran to build up a disturbing picture of what is currently taking place at a time when the risk of a general regional conflict is higher than it has been for decades. 30/11/00 RELATED
ARTICLES:Sentinel Security Assessments: Iran Iran now able to deploy Shahab-3 Insurgents waiting in the wings over oil The estimated 30,000 million tonnes of oil up for grabs in the Caspian Basin has, unsurprisingly, raised the level of intrigue over the various existing and proposed pipelines. Competing interests have lined up in two groupings: United States/Turkey/Azerbaijan and Russia/Armenia/Iran. 15/11/00   RELATED
ARTICLES:The geo-politics of Caspian oil Danger in the Ivory Coast RED alert danger signals are currently flashing from the Ivory Coast. While elections planned for October 22 have taken place, they have not removed the danger of serious conflict verging on national disintegration. This is all the more alarming in a country that for 40 years has been perceived as a pillar of political stability and economic progress in West Africa. 15/11/00 
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ARTICLES:Coup in the Ivory Coast - Why Africa's best student failed - and what next? Europe's help for Palestine This is what European commissioners in Brussels are considering ASSUMING that there is a Middle East settlement, which is a big assumption, the Europeans want a stake in it. In this exclusive report, we describe what might happen. 07/11/00
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ARTICLES:Israelis, Palestinians negotiate summit terms Kenyan general chosen to lead UNAMSIL Secretary-General Kofi Annan has named Lt Gen Daniel Opande of Kenya to head the UN mission in Sierra Leone (UNAMSIL). Lt Gen Opande will replace Maj Gen Vijay Jetley of India who has been critical of Nigerian units under him, accusing some of them of disobeying orders and colluding in diamond smuggling. 06/11/00 RELATED
ARTICLES:UNAMSIL: a long road to peace Interview: Maj Gen Vijay Jetley (12 July 2000) Shoestring peacekeeping International terrorism becomes a feature of Sierra Leone's war E-Intifada: political disputes cast shadows in cyberspace Asymmetric warfare has long been a favourite tool of terrorist organisations worldwide. The recent suicide attack on the USS Cole is a painful reminder of the ability of a small terrorist organisation to wage war against the most powerful of nations. However, this type of attack is not new. Now, new trends of attack are visible in cyberspace. 03/11/00 RELATED
ARTICLES:Attack on US Ships Shows Vulnerabilities Intelligence gathering on asymmetric threats - PART ONE Shifting sands, changing prospects  Spending
in the Middle East maintained as tension continues
The tortuous Arab-Israeli
peace process now seems to be entering a murky endgame that may or may
not result in a comprehensive settlement for one of the world's longest-running
conflicts. However, it is only one component of a region-wide equation
that is changing the geopolitical landscape.
BAE Systems chosen as equity partner for Denel The South African government announced on 12 October that it has selected BAE Systems of the UK as its preferred "strategic equity partner" for the Aerospace and Ordnance groups of Denel. BAE Systems was selected as the company with the greatest potential "commercial and industrial synergies" and the greatest "strategic benefits". 24/10/00 RELATED
ARTICLES:Denel to unveil 105mm gun with long range BAE predicts big surge in defence solutions market Special watch by US Department of Defense on BAE-Lockheed deal Alleged Pagad attacks prompt SA clampdown THERE have been serious developments in recent weeks regarding the activities of the South African Islamic organisation, Pagad. The first of these was the assassination, outside his Cape Town home, of prominent magistrate Pieter Theron. He has been responsible for trying several Pagad cases. He was shot several times in the head and chest at close range by a man and a woman and died instantly. 19/10/00  RELATED
ARTICLES:Sentinel Risk Pointers: South Africa Egypt intent on Moray submarines  The
Egyptian government has signed a letter of intent (LoI) to purchase two
new Dutch-designed Moray-class diesel-electric submarines from an industry
team led by Litton Ingalls Shipbuilding.17/10/00 RELATED
ARTICLES:Egypt seeks submarine buy Egypt bolsters navy The SA Navy's New Submarine Shaping Palestinian security  The
fact that a Palestinian state will come into being sooner or later, with
or without Israel's formal consent, is now widely accepted. Yet, while
the Palestinian leadership has over the years clearly outlined its national
aims, the fledgling state's security concerns remain obscure.David Eshel reports on Palestinian strategic objectives. 13/10/00 RELATED
ARTICLES:Realism and restraint among the Palestinian rejectionists? A Palestinian state and Israeli security Palestinian pawns in a proxy war Attack on US Ships Shows Vulnerabilities 
The apparent terrorist attack on the USS Cole in the port of Aden, Yemen,
highlights the new threats facing the US and other advanced military forces
in an era when their size, reach and warfighting capability increasingly
lead adversaries to seek non-traditional and often low-tech means of inflicting
damage.13/10/00
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ARTICLES: Suicide terrorism: a global threat Terrorist Events in Yemen 1997 - 2000 Yemen: unlikely key to Western security Intelligence gathering on asymmetric threats - PART ONE Background Information: ARLEIGH BURKE CLASS (FLIGHTS I and II): GUIDED MISSILE DESTROYERS (AEGIS) (DDG) Schematic - ARLEIGH BURKE CLASS (FLIGHTS I and II): GUIDED MISSILE DESTROYERS (AEGIS) (DDG) IDF gets a 'wake-up call'  Following
the recent unrest in the West Bank, Gaza Strip and Israel, David Eshel assesses
the security implications for the Israel Defence Force 09/10/00 RELATED
ARTICLES:Israel Defence Force puts case for budget boost IDF sceptical about THEL Israel uses helicopters in fight with Palestinians  The
Israel Defence Force (IDF) has for the first time made extensive use of
attack helicopters to quell Palestinian unrest in the West Bank and Gaza
Strip. 10/10/00 RELATED
ARTICLES:IDF gets a 'wake-up call' Israel Defence Force puts case for budget boost IDF sceptical about THEL Background Information: Boeing Apache AH-64 Background Information: Kolomna KBM Strela-2/Strela-2M (SA-7 `Grail') low-altitude surface-to-air missile system Background Information: Raytheon Electronic Systems FIM-92 Stinger low-altitude surface-to-air missile system Temple Mount compromise theatens peace agreement AFTER a substantial effort to seal a Middle East peace agreement, the Clinton administration now senses that a solution is slipping away. Senior officials say they are preparing themselves for the likelihood that a deal will not come during Bill Clinton's time in office. 06/10/00 RELATED
ARTICLES:Movement in the Middle East? The secret peace process A new Turkish gateway A new airport, only 40km from Istanbul city centre is on schedule to open at the end of this month (October). The Sabiha Gökçen International Airport is phase one of the Advanced Technology Industrial Park (ATIP) project to provide trade, aviation, space and sociological development on Istanbul’s Asian shore in the Pendik Kutköy region. This is to the east of the major Turkish city, and the opposite side to Atatürk International Airport which is located on the European side of Istanbul. 05/10/00  RELATED
ARTICLES:CATHAY PACIFIC AIRWAYS SIGNS NEW CODESHARE WITH TURKISH AIRLINES SUNEXPRESS ACCEPTS DELIVERY OF FIRST BOEING 737-800 South Africa's acquisition role under scrutiny South Africa's auditor-general, Shauket A Fakie, has published a critical review of South Africa's current "strategic packages" programme in which he questions aspects of the acquisition process and recommends an audit of subcontracts linked with allegations of corruption and nepotism. 04/10/00
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ARTICLES: Europe to re-equip South Africa South Africa approves procurement packages 
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Lt Gen Deon Ferreira Chief of Joint Operations, South African National Defence Force South African Army Lt Gen Deon Ferreira is the first Chief of Joint Operations (CJOPS), having been appointed in 1998 to open the new Joint Operations Division (JOPS). Approaching the end of his term, he is satisfied that the basic concept is correct, that his staff have succeeded in firmly establishing the new division and that it has met the challenges of its first three years. 03/01/01 OTHER
RECENT ASIA/PACIFIC INTERVIEWS:Vice Admiral Yedidya Ya'ari - Israeli navy Commander-in-Chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah - Secretary General of Hezbollah
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